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The vital role of doubt in science | Madelen Hrubešová | TEDxYouth@ISPrague


we can count the rings of Saturn we know

that there are seven major ring groups

with thousands of smaller rings within

we can cure gene defects before the

child is even born we understand the

mechanisms by which hundreds of liters

of water defy gravity and reach the

Crown’s of the tallest trees in the

world the sequoia trees over a hundred

meters tall science is thriving

but what has made science progress so

rapidly is it our ability to make better

observations is it the improvement of

the methods of experimentation or is it

the quality of our logical thinking

undoubtedly all of these things are

important but could anything be missing

how about doubt one of the most

interesting things for me to do in

school and also what we are encouraged

to do is to look at every major idea

from various perspectives we analyze the

strengths and the limitations of those

ideas in aspects like the causes of

O’War solutions to an ecological problem

or when solving a complex mathematical

problem we see the value of questioning

ideas in all subjects and science is no

exception yes science does benefit from

such drivers as observation

experimentation reason but it also

largely benefits from doubt Karl Popper

a 20th century Austrian British

philosopher of science promoted the idea

of falsification Papa argued that

science makes the most progress when it

looks for evidence against prevailing

theories not for them popper said if we

are uncritical we shall always find what

we want we shall look for and find

confirmations and we shall look away

from and not see whatever might be

dangerous to our theories today the

theory of evolution is generally

accepted but in the spirit of poppers

idea of falsification we all stand to

benefit from ever

major idea from questioning every major

idea of every major idea or belief

including some aspects of the theory of

evolution the goal of doing this type of

critical thinking is to keep the good

parts of the model but to improve the

parts that don’t hold up after careful

examination the foundation for the

theory of evolution is the belief that

life came about through a vow Genesis

abiogenesis is just a fancy way of

saying that life spontaneously came from

nonliving matter but according to

another generally accepted biological

theory the cell theory all living cells

come from pre-existing living cells so

how can both of these theories that life

can come from non-life that life only

ever comes from life how can both of

these theories be true according to a

distinguished French French chemist

Louis Pasteur and his experimental

evidence spontaneous generation of life

from nonliving matter is impossible he

said all life comes from pre-existence

life so think about this where did you

come from well you had parents right

think you had a mother and she where did

she come from

well she – she also had a mother and so

on and the same is true for all animals

even simple one-celled organisms like

bacteria but what about plants well a

tree comes from the seed of another

older living tree so it has been

observed over and over again by all of

us that life comes from life but his

life ever been observed to come from

something nonliving so far no it is true

however that in the 1950s Harold Urey

and Stanley Miller came together and

decided that they wanted to prove a

biogenesis possible so what they did was

that they simulated Earth’s early

atmosphere using various gases the

latest charged electric current into

those gases and boom they created amino

acids now what are amino acids whether

organic compounds and many people when

they hear the word

organically think life but the question

to ask is does organic really mean alive

take for example this blouse that I’m

wearing now the cloth that it’s made out

of that’s organic would you say it’s

alive or would everybody agrees would

that’s organic is it alive the fact is

that actual life complex cells with with

genetic information that could divide

billions of times to create real living

organisms has never been observed to

come from something nonliving and here

is genuine reason for doubt another

aspect of the theory of evolution that

gets to that’s good to think about is

the difference between microevolution

and macro-evolution microevolution is

the minor evolutionary transition that

occurs within one species of organism so

in the species of Canis lupus familiaris

or what we all know as dog

microevolution is a transition from a

wold wolf to domestic poodle that is my

dog macro-evolution on the other hand is

the major evolutionary transition from

one species to a whole different type of

species so it’s the belief that through

natural selection over an extremely long

period of time a reptile can become a

bird microevolution has been observed we

can see it all around us there different

types of cats dogs birds etc

macro-evolution however has not been

observed some evolutionary scientists

would say that yes it is impossible to

observe macro evolution because it

happens over such a long period of time

no one person can observe it wolf I can

hardly leg an evolutionary scientist of

the Max Planck Institute for plant

breeding research in Germany conducted

an experiment where he and other

scientists believe that if they selected

favorable mutations they could create

better versions of plants and animals

and maybe even whole new species

altogether

so in other words what they were trying

to do

was speed-up macro-evolution after 30

years of continuous research all the

mutants died or were weaker than their

wild varieties Luna concluded mutations

cannot transform an original species

with plant or animal into an entirely

new one

they can’t he continues this conclusion

agrees with all the experiences and

results of mutation research of the 20th

century taken together as well as with

the laws of probability pasture and

learning along with other scientists

have made detailed observations have

done high quality experiments and have

applied the laws of logic to interpret

the data in addition to observation

experimentation reason science

progresses best when doubt is in play in

today’s 21st century education perhaps

the most valuable skill we can all learn

is how to become good questioners of

evidence open-minded enough to accept

that our initial ideas may be wrong

doubt is not our enemy

doubting traditions learning assumptions

donning mainstream ideas or beliefs is

the key to high-quality critical

thinking and to the ongoing and noble

search for truth thank you [Applause]

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