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World Changing: Data Science and AI | Fred Blackburn | TEDxWakeForestU


thanks Zoey for that really warm

introduction I can’t tell you how

excited I am to be here today with you

all talking about a topic that I’m

really passionate about and that’s how

data science combined with artificial

intelligence has us on the precipice of

unprecedented change of the course of

human history and if you think real

quick if you look back over some really

major changes that have occurred in

human history of course you’ve had the

Industrial Revolution the Industrial

Revolution as you know was the first

time which machines began to perform the

functions that humans previously did in

this case manual functions and at the

time there’s a lot of concern as to how

humans have we put out of jobs you know

the rapid unemployment but none of that

happened when the Industrial Revolution

unfolded of course there’s some

displacement but what we saw was a huge

explosion in new jobs that didn’t exist

before we saw people moving from farms

into cities we saw a huge increase in

the quality of life in life expectancy

and that unfolded over about a 90 year

period and then fast forward to about

1950 with a start of the computer

revolution and now we have machines not

performing manual functions that humans

used to perform but actually now

providing low-level cognitive functions

that which freed up people to take on

bigger more challenging problems than

than they had in the past now fast

forward to today we have the computer

revolution we have the access to

information anytime anywhere it’s at our

fingertips and we have this explosion of

new skillsets like data science this is

all coming together to create a scenario

where we’re about to take significant

leaps forward in what we’re capable of

as humankind so it’s really I think

important to think about the differences

between how humans learn and how

machines learn before we get into what

the future could very much look like

humans basically learn through evolution

experiences in culture and over the

course of human history there was a

pretty pretty steady trajectory going

forward then with the advent of

computers all of a sudden you saw that

he

knowledge increasing at phenomenal rates

most people don’t realize but 98% of the

data that exists in the world today was

created in the last two years that’s a

stunning factor so you just think about

what that means for our knowledge of the

world around us

now machines on the other hand we built

machines to learn a little bit

differently than humans we built them to

learn through simulations through

anomaly detection and by trying to model

the human brain and trying to emulate

the human break we’re not really far

along in a slaughter point but that will

be something that will certainly unfold

in the years to come so machines can do

some amazing things but there’s also a

paradox here there’s some simple things

that they can’t do so as you know you

can interact with technology now you can

interact with Siri you can interact with

Alexa and Syria or Alexa will perform

simple cognitive skills or functions for

you but you really can’t have a

conversation with Alexa if you’ve ever

tried having a conversation with any of

the digital assistants it’s really

really frustrating there’s a lot of work

to be done there everybody’s heard about

driverless vehicles we that’s certainly

the future but there’s still great

limitations that exist that machines

have yet to be able to overcome

for instance you can’t operate

driverless vehicles in a snowstorm in

fact you can’t really operate it in a

heavy rainstorm so there’s a lot of work

that needs to be done there as well now

there’s a couple things on this list

here that when we built this these slide

six months ago machines couldn’t do know

the ones that are crossed out six months

ago machines weren’t able to create new

cures for diseases or vaccines for

diseases and I’ll talk about that in a

moment

and although machines are able to create

art they weren’t able to create art that

was visually appealing to humans now we

can so again we’re coming of a very very

long way the other thing that machines

can do is they can really whip humans in

anything that’s a mathematical base or

strategy based game so those are things

that you know we’re going to rely on

future on machines for in the future but

what machines can’t do is they can’t be

inquisitive they can’t take lessons

learned in one field and apply them to

another and that’s where humans come in

and it’s very powerful when you think

about the marriage of these increasingly

powerful machine

with heat with the human curiosity so

again to the paradox between what what

machines could do in what humans can do

a three-year-old can ace the test here

and pick out which one are the dogs in

which one of the blueberry muffins

computers are terrible at this they

don’t even get it right 50% of the time

which really goes to the complexity of

the human brain and what we’re capable

of and what machines are capable now it

doesn’t always have to be about food in

animals but another picture here –

between doughnuts

I’m sorry bagels and dogs computers

can’t tell the difference yet everyone

sitting in this room could easily tell

that there’s huge differences here so as

Mark Zuckerberg said we’ve never been

closer or further away from the future

of AI now in terms of some of the really

awesome things the machines could do

normally we want to show this slide to

folks I asked folks to say okay can you

pick out Eve in this picture kind of

like Where’s Waldo and everybody picks

the scientist peering through the

microscope on the right there that’s not

Eve

that’s a scientist who is working with

EE – Eve is the machine that you see

here Eve is a really remarkable machine

as I mentioned before 6 months ago a

year ago we did not have machines coming

up with cures independently of humans

now we have a very very promising

malaria drug and you think about the

years that have been spent trying to

come up with a vaccine for malaria and

here you have Eve doing it in the course

of six months to a year and that’s just

the start

tremendous possibilities there other

things that machines can do better than

humans were at the point now with you

know based on your genetic code machines

can analyze and determine the best

treatments for diseases in afflictions

that you may have way better than then

doctors can in many cases as I mentioned

before we have driverless vehicles we

have driverless not just cars and trucks

but we’ve driverless drones airplane

submarine ships and a lot of these

repetitive tasks again will be done by

machines in the future so limitations

but we are making lots of progress

I mentioned the example of

about art and although machines are

producing art that’s visually appealing

we machines really do struggle still

with a written word it’s got something

to do with the complexity of language

and so machines aren’t able to write

poems that are appealing to humans or

write songs or write books or novels but

maybe someday the other thing that

machines I Ben should just really whip

humans at is any game of strategy

you know the game go here or chess or

any type of complex strategy game we

just can’t beat machines anymore

now I’m also really excited about where

we’re going in the future so Booz Allen

as you as Zoe mentioned we’re consulting

in technology firm been around for about

a hundred years and we’ve really pivoted

it of last four or five years to really

focus on this combination of Technology

and human curiosity and what that can

create to make the world a better place

and one of the things I’m super excited

about is we have a concept that we’re

leading up called super agent and it’s

the idea is that you’re going to help

law enforcement officials be infinitely

more capable than they are today and

it’s not about arming and with more

weapons it’s about arming them with data

and so what the super agent concept is

think about Robocop without all the

negative aspects of it it’s a series of

sensors that a law enforcement official

wears as a inter-row and it

automatically scans that room in

determines if there’s guns knives or

anything threatening that that officer

should be aware of it’s also scans the

room for all the individuals that are in

it and does a biometric scan to see if

any of those are people of interest or

people who have dangerous backgrounds

and the last thing I’m really excited

about on this super aging concept is

we’re going heavy into this concept of

micro-expressions and if you’ve ever

studied the field of micro-expressions

it’s fascinating really aberrant

behavior is often characterized by very

strange combinations of micro

expressions so our theory is is that if

we can identify what those micro

expressions are that causes somebody to

flee order to causes somebody to act in

a violent way we could certainly make

law enforcement much much more effective

then than they are today the second area

that I should highlight that’s really

cool we’re working with FEMA the Federal

Emergency Management Agency to really

change the way we respond to disasters

disaster response today is inherently

inefficient ineffective we often spend

40 10 20 times what it would cost in a

non disaster type environment and we’re

trying to leverage crypto currencies

we’re trying to leverage the digital

economy like uber and airbnb to make the

process of responding in preparing for

disasters way more effective in

efficient that’s something we could have

never done even three or four years you

know the last area I’d highlight that

were excited about we launched if you’ve

ever heard about it the data Science

Bowl it’s basically data science for

social good and we were able to create

last year a set of the algorithms that

allow ready

radiological technicians to scan x-rays

more effectively than humans we focused

on lung cancer and could you detect lung

cancer quicker in earlier with humans

with machines and you can’t humans and

I’m very proud to say that you can and

so we’re excited to see where that goes

and other types of imagery related

medical applications and so yeah as we

go forward in the future there’s four

things you can absolutely be confident

of machines will be doing more and more

repetitive higher order cognitive tasks

we’re freeing up the human intellect to

take on more and more challenging

problems you will have machines as

co-workers which is going to be weird

but you will and in addition to having

machines s co-workers

you’re not going to interface with

technology like we do today where you

sit down in front of a keyboard you type

stuff in you’re going to interface with

technology like you do with other human

beings and I think that’s exciting but

really when you get right down to what’s

the most exciting part about this is

that unprecedented change we have the

ability in front of us to fix problems

that we never dreamed of fixing before

we have the ability to create increased

life expectancies by orders of magnitude

to clean up the oceans to clean up the

environment

and really do some amazing things and

doing it cheaper faster and better than

we ever did before so my advice to you

unlike the first speaker it’s been a

little bit longer for me since I was

sitting in your shoes but I do vaguely

remember those those years think about

the future imagine 10 years from now

imagine your field of study imagine

you’re drinking job you’re working your

dream job

think about those repetitive cognitive

functions that you won’t have to do

anymore

and instead what will you focus your

time on what kind of bigger problems can

you can you take on that you wouldn’t

have been able to do if it wasn’t for

the advent of artificial intelligence

and also think about what other skills

you need to be able to take on those

those projects and I think if you do

that you can have a really really

successful future now if you want to

learn more about AI and where it’s

headed to my colleagues just Sullivan

and Angelucci tavern wrote this book the

mathematical corporation brought several

copies by and to have it in the library

encourage you to check it out or drop me

I know I’ll I’ll make sure we get that

post so don’t make sure we get you guys

copy the book thank you so much [Applause]

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