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The hockey stick effect | Joanne Balentien – Nicastia | TEDxCuracao


[Music]

good evening I’m going to tell you the

story actually have two lives of two

girls on island a small society or any

society for that matter and they’re

going to be two girls born in the same

year one is Nelson and the other one is

leta so Elsa is this girl that lives in

a more stable environment she was born

in the stable environment she has his

love and family caring family community

and he carry very high norms and values

lisa is less fortunate she’s born in a

environment where there is a lot of

bickering a lot of fighting or maybe

that killing silence in the house which

might be even worse so they all live all

family members live parallel from each

other and not really in unity and they

don’t carry very high norms and values

norms and values then get it from the

streets now I want to take you 15 years

later they’re both teenagers so that’s

trouble already Elsa is going to school

wants to be Beyonce or a doctor or

whatever and she’s just trouble for our

parents you know sometimes just annoying

15 year olds Lisa just found out she’s

pregnant she might be pregnant from a

guy that thought she was going to get

love from outside her turbulent home or

maybe her stepfather that turned her

pregnant

she doesn’t have the social safety net

he doesn’t have the financial safety net

well more importantly she doesn’t have

the emotional safety net so she drops

out of school taking you 15 years later

now they are both ready I also have

finished some kind of education has a

stable job 021 kids not a lot to tell

about that Lisa that has five kids now

she has five kids because every guy that

came along and promised to get her out

of her situation she believed it and the

only thing that he left behind is

anarchy and she’d never put attention to

education she never had a stable job and

on top of that her daughter her first

one just came up to her and told her you

know something this history repeats

because I’m pregnant as well at 15 year

old so she’s become a grandmother at 30

I take it 15 years later they’re both 45

Elsa now has 12 kids she might be

married or not married she might be rich

or poor but was really important is that

she is loving and caring and she creates

unity in her home and instills the same

norms and values because she was taught

by by her parents that’s her focus Lisa

the story just repeats it so now they

have 25 more descendants and plus 25 he

new attorney and then you can go on like

this so at 75 the ratio looks cute

skewed like this so why am I telling you

this story where does this come from and

you know why is it important at 17 years

old I thought about this storyline and

for me it was an extreme storyline to

just make a point and the point was for

everybody that is

selfish that they can be can be engaged

in to the less fortunate in our society

and especially in the education of the

less fortunate in our society now that

was my original idea so this was for me

an extreme example now to other years

I’ve seen our society hardened I see

crime rate increase and I’ve seen norms

and values decrease so I decided you

know I had this in mind so let me go and

investigate it a little bit more and so

I went and when I found is that thing a

little bit worse than I thought because

the extreme storyline that I thought

about wasn’t that extreme at all it was

happening and worse than that norms and

values of that group was deteriorating

in Honolulu and to understand a little

bit better you know I invite you I did

that for myself and I got scared for it

fast but I invite you all to go to the

fifteen-year-old you and imagine you

have to now take care of a kid you do

not have your parents but you have to

take care of a kid you’re gonna have a

job you have to actually keep a job and

for the heroes among you can think you

know I can do that now think about

having a second child and it’s your

child with a mindset and knowledge and

skills you had a 15 year old now I don’t

know about you but for me that was

so the most important thing is that to

realize that first generation teenage

pregnancy is not at that but second and

third-generation pregnancy that’s when

you’re doomed to live in poverty chances

are big and then crime becomes more

attractive

self prostitution becomes like the only

logical solution there is and it starts

for the needed goods and goes to slug

furry goods and then how about

prostitution the next generation and we

heard about those stories so

deterioration of norms and values now

the important thing is what does that do

to your society what’s the impact now if

you’ve already seen this cute ratios

right now let me take you into what

impact does this have on your education

system now this is besides the dropouts

and all the guys out of school it’s also

about the teachers don’t we hear about

teachers teachers saying you know norms

and values in the schools are a lot

lower and how about the workforce I

don’t know if any of you do a chart but

don’t you have sometimes those people

coming in for a job interview and you’re

like really do you really think this is

appropriate to wear it is to a job

interview and how about your burden on

the health care system and the burden on

your judicial system and social net

system and we talked about education and

we talked about the workforce so don’t

think about the quality of your taxpayer

and now imagine your Minister your

finest of this country and try to

balance that budget and even if you

manage to balance that budget how

sustainable is your balance balance

budget as a matter of fact how

don’t know what you guys but it’s quite

scary

so what do you do next right I mean

Thank You Joanne for this story you just

it was just a happy story now it isn’t

know most of people would go to the

education the education of the drop out

there are great programs out there and

I’ve been through them and they’re just

great that’s where I was inclined to go

myself in the beginning but what are you

doing the ground effect every 15 years

exponentially growing every scope did

you think about the problem to solve is

too small every time you take that

you’re going to solve the problem it’s

too short far too long so what do you do

you have to deal with an exponential

growth and how do you do it you know the

good news about this thing is that there

is a solution or it is releasably at

least a solution that mitigates the

issue and it’s called the paternity law

the paternity law works like this its

first simple child is born people go to

the mother and ask who’s the father of

this child the model given me Ellen and

we go to Alan and we tell Ellen you know

um congratulations you’re the father of

a child MLM might freak out as I know

that’s not my kid so we do with DNA

tests and out of the innate past comes

that he’s not father we go back to the

matter and it is otherwise it is

positive and he’ll have to take care of

financially with the kids till he’s 18

years old anyway or and pay for the DNA

test when we try to achieve with this we

do not try to achieve one feministic

movement to punish man the thing is

about try to make people conscious then

the next time they have intercourse

after the first and second times if we

put responsible for a kid at least maybe

they will be more responsible with our

inter-cosmic used a condom that’s just

the only thing that we want to do

because we’ve seen situations where an

actually two years old has 21 kids maybe

we can mitigate that or this is that

father

are raping his 12 13 year old kids so

that’s what we want to tackle so

conclusion we already seen this is

devastating this growth effect is

devastating for our society and doesn’t

make any kind of sustainable so the

paternity law is just a way to mitigate

this a little bit and we know need to

support it because only when it’s

litigated you can start at least start

then with a healing process in your society thank you

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