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The dangers of the partisan brain | Jay Van Bavel | TEDxSkoll


I want to ask everyone here a question

please raise your hand if you would

recognize truth if it was presented in

front of your own eyes so do you

consider yourself a rational person who

is able to see truth ok I’m seeing some

hands people are a little bit self

skeptical ok hopefully a lot of rational

people here but I’m going to put you to

the test ok ok now is show of hands if

you think the crowd in the picture on

the right is larger seems fairly easy

for you how many people think the crowd

on the left is larger okay that was

fairly easy you got it all right so it

seems like you are fairly rational

people and as most you recognize these

pictures were taken 8 years apart from

almost exactly the same angle at

President Barack Obama’s presidential

inauguration in 2009 and Donald Trump’s

inauguration just a few months ago and

as you can see from the crowds the

pictures here the crowd was much larger

at Barack Obama’s inauguration than

Donald Trump’s nevertheless Donald Trump

took to Twitter as he often does to

boast about the immense crowd he said

this might be one of the biggest it was

a massive turnout and the very next day

his press secretary Sean Spicer took

pictures of the crowd in his very first

press briefing on national TV and

pointed out that this was in fact the

largest audience to witness an

inauguration period both in person and

around the globe and so he was

presenting what Kellyanne Conway another

member of the Trump White House later

called an alternative fact so an

alternative fact here is the idea that

both facts are true the crowd for our

Trump is larger as is Obama’s crowd and

so even when presented with the

photographic evidence as well as

ridership numbers in DC on that day that

contradicted this she clung to this

notion of alternative facts and this

struck many people as eerily familiar

and many people pointed

to the similarities to George Orwell’s

famous book 1984 and within days the

sales for 1984 shot up by nine thousand

five hundred percent it became a

best-selling book for the first time in

decades and perhaps the most striking

parallel to me anyways was this quote

from Orwell the party told you to reject

the evidence of your own eyes and ears

it was their final and most essential

command and this was the essence of the

book which is that totally totalitarian

government was asking people to deny

their own eyes and ears and they were

rewriting facts and presenting

alternative reality to their citizens

now we’re trump voters or was Trump

perhaps denying the evidence presented

in front of his own eyes well they

actually did a study on this some

researchers in the United States

collected data from thirteen hundred and

eighty-eight American citizens and

showed them this picture with the same

simple question I asked you they asked

which crowd is larger looking at these

two pictures and like you people found

this remarkably easy as you can see

accuracy for almost everybody in the

study was close to a hundred percent

people could easily tell which crowd was

larger based on these two photos side by

side with one exception about 15 percent

of Donald Trump supporters seem to

reject the evidence presented to their

own eyes exactly what Orwell was talking

about they said that the picture on the

left was larger and these were not

labeled with Trump or Obama on them they

were just saying that that crowd looked

larger given the two photos and nothing

else I just want to say here that

liberals are not the only people to

believe lies there was an analysis done

recently of hyper-partisan websites

online and 40% of stories in

hyper-partisan conservative websites had

lies in them and liberals were sharing

stories with lies too almost 20% of the

stories that liberals were seeing on

these hyper-partisan web sites were lies

or had some lie in it I’m thankfully the

mainstream media which has been taking a

lot of flak lately was almost perfectly

accurate there was almost no lies in any

of these stories

were detectable this example about

American politics might sound trivial

but the implications are much bigger

than that and this is what to me is much

more troubling we are having debates

over basic facts about whether this

globe that we live on is warming we are

having basic facts about things like the

efficacy of vaccinations does it help

people does it cause autism when you’re

debating basic facts and this has led

Time magazine recently to ask is truth

dead if we’re going to debate things

that scientists have proven if people

are going to disagree with photographic

evidence presented in their eyes in

front of their own eyes have we lost

sense of truth are we all post

modernists as it were one of my favorite

quotes was by a US Senator Daniel

Patrick Moynihan who once said that

everyone is entitled to his own opinion

but not his own facts and that’s

critical because if we’re ever gonna

resolve any of these problems we have to

first start with a shared understanding

of what reality is and then if we accept

that the globe is warming we can debate

how we’re gonna solve that problem

there’s a lot of reasonable arguments

about different strategies but if we can

never agree on the fact to begin with we

have no basis for even discussing how to

solve it and that is led Stephen Colbert

comedian to note that it used to be that

everyone was entitled to their own

opinion but not their own facts but

facts don’t matter anymore

perception is everything and so what I’m

here to talk to you today about is how

our brain shape our perceptions of

reality and then maybe offer some

antidotes for resolving that problem

this is one of my favorite cartoons it’s

from The New Yorker this is a famous

perceptual illusion for some people they

see a duck other people see a rabbit and

these are two armies going to war over

whether or not they accept their duck

God or the rabbit God and this might

sound absurd people are laughing but

that recently happened how many people

see this dress as a white and gold by

show hands okay about half of you how

many people see it as black and blue I

see it as black and low I see people

looking each other like are you crazy

like what what’s going on here and

that’s exactly what happened when this

photograph was taken it went viral and

people got in yelling matches not only

at the wedding where this was originally

in Scotland but online people are

yelling at each other about how their

idiots and fools and can’t see reality

what’s obviously true I just led Ellen

to post this tweet which she said from

this day on the world will be divided

it’s two people the black and blue

people and no white and gold people and

essentially this is what happens when we

don’t agree on reality it divides us now

where is this coming from why are we so

divided on politics and on our

interpretations of reality and truth

there’s two good reasons for it the

first reason is that our biology is

different so there’s more and more

evidence emerging that liberals and

conservatives have different genetic

foundations that are biological parents

give us a certain genetic heritage that

shapes how we interact with other people

in the world what policies we find

acceptable in essence were predisposed

to believe certain things and this has

been followed up by recent research

looking at the structural differences in

the brains of liberals and conservatives

this work was done in England and they

also ran it with a couple of politicians

and they found that there are

differences in core structures in the

brain between liberals and conservatives

and so what this suggests is that our

brains are different

another factor the second factor is that

through evolution our brains were carved

to cooperate and coordinate as groups

every single culture on earth forms

coalition’s and groups and identifies

with groups and this was very successful

for out competing other groups and out

competing other species but it leads to

a massive intergroup conflict and so

even though it’s functional in the

savanna it is a disaster when it’s

applied to politics and so when we think

about how people are debating and seeing

the facts behind certain issues from

inauguration crowds to global warming to

vaccination these insights can help us

understand why people are seeing it

differently and maybe give us some

insights about how we can intervene so

if you’re like me the first thing you do

in the morning is you roll over I turn

on my phone and I check my favorite news

sites and what I’m doing there is that

I’m seeing different news different

facts to reach in my mind that are

probably different than my neighbour

because I select new sites that I enjoy

the other thing that happens

is that I checked my social media and if

you’re not aware of this now we are

living in echo chambers our social media

because of our likes and dislikes

becomes carefully curated and becomes a

reflection of our own values and so you

can go to The Wall Street Journal they

have this amazing website where you can

select many many political issues like

immigration and you can see what a

liberal and a conservative are seeing in

their social media feeds at the exact

same time at that moment and it is

shocking how people are being fed

different news sources and so how are we

gonna agree if we’re seeing radically

different interpretations of reality so

that’s already a massive problem but the

problem goes much deeper than that

our brains are misinterpreting and

processing information differently and

so we have these beautiful prefrontal

cortices and this is what differentiates

us from every other primate on earth

it’s what allows us to build beautiful

buildings like this to organize events

like this to cooperate to fly in

airplanes we have an enormous capacity

that’s given to us by our prefrontal

cortices but what they do when we’re

motivated is reason in ways that can be

detrimental so although I’m sure all of

you would agree that an educated

citizenry is key to helping people see

truth and learn how to distinguish fact

from fiction right well that’s wrong

there is a recent study that had people

solve a math problem and the solution

either led to the conclusion that gun

control was ineffective or that gun

control is effective and what happened

was that liberals were able to solve the

question pretty well but only if it

supported their belief system only if it

came to the conclusion that gun control

was effective when it wasn’t effective

they failed badly and this was true even

of people who were very skilled at math

when conservatives did it they found the

exact opposite effect and so what this

study shows is that math skills and

education and understanding might be

thought to bring us closer together but

in fact it can lead us further apart

when we’re motivated we reason in ways

that support our initial belief systems

and this is one way that politics really

does rot your brain uh-huh there’s also

good evidence that we remember things

differently so many people millions of

people continue to believe that there

were weapons

mass destruction in Iraq this was

considered the greatest intelligence

failure in history now

that led to a massive disaster hundreds

of thousands of people being injured and

displaced tens of thousands of people

dying hundreds of thousands of people

with psychological trauma to this day

that are being treated but that’s not

just a conservative problem there’s a

recent study by researchers who study

how false mentally memories get

implanted in people’s brains and what

they found is that conservatives are far

more likely to remember false memories

that were consistent with their beliefs

like the idea that George Bush was

meeting with a celebrity when Hurricane

Katrina was happening conservatives were

more likely to remember that Barack

Obama was meeting with the President of

Iran which didn’t happen they actually

remembered it as being true and so you

could see people on the left and right

are more likely to remember things that

comport with their beliefs to me the

most concerning thing is that it goes

even deeper there are some evidence that

our politics might even shape our

interpretations of basic facts and

reality so one of my favorite studies in

this area presented people with a video

of a protest and police were coming to

arrest protesters something that people

here probably care a lot about how these

how protesters are treated well in this

case they either told participants that

these were anti-abortion protesters or

not and what they found is that liberals

thought that the protesters were much

more violent when they were described as

anti-abortion protesters and

conservatives thought they were peaceful

and so these people are saying the exact

same video to their retina to their

perceptual system and drawing opposite

conclusions about what had happened here

you can think of how this might impact

how we all see the news even if we are

reading the same news watching the same

channels we’re interpreting it through

different lenses

now I’m gonna hopefully help you leave

on a hopeful note so imagine that you

could give people an antidote to help

them see clearly to open their eyes what

would you do I’m gonna give you three

piece of advice that might help the

first one is that you have to consider

the possibility that you’re wrong that

you’re miss perceiving reality as I’ve

pointed out continuously here everybody

thinks they’re seeing reality even when

we’re not this is known as naive realism

and so you first need to check your

facts to ensure that you’re correct

you’re not the one miss perceiving

things the second thing is that fact

checks do work and people can reason

effectively when they’re presented with

data but it doesn’t happen if they’re

presented with data from somebody they

don’t trust and so the erosion of trust

in the media is a huge problem because

it means that people aren’t gonna accept

the facts when they’re presented to them

from those sources so you have to

present it from a fact source that

people actually trust and third you need

to open people’s minds and what research

suggests is the best one of the best

ways to do that is to listen to

somebody’s perspective and affirm their

common humanity listening helps you

understand why they believe what they do

and potentially find a ground for

convincing them or correcting their

misinterpretations or maybe

understanding that they have an

alternative insight that you don’t have

and affirming them is key to making them

less defensive because if people are

defensive about their beliefs which we

know they are they can react and some

people have even called this the

backfire effect where you present people

with vaccination facts about how it’s

effective they sometimes can even double

down and harden their original beliefs

so you have to be very careful on how

you approach people when you try to

convince them of some truth now this was

just a first step for opening a dialogue

and trying to talk to people and try to

share a common sense of reality but it’s

a critical first step because if we’re

gonna solve major issues like climate

change vaccinations globalization save

our democracy you need to start by

having a common basis thank you very

much

[Applause] [Music]

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