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Complex Problems – Think PPPs | Alan Trager | TEDxJHUDC


today we’re going to talk about

public-private partnerships and how they

are an effective solution to complex

public policy problems problems we have

today and that are definitely going to

be with us in the future

large problems headaches problems

johns-hopkins problems and then we’re

these hands represent the billion people

looking for water every day that’s safe

and adequate and supply the two and a

half billion people looking for

sanitation because they lack it and now

900 million people who are elderly

defined as merely 60 years of age this

900 million people are going to grow by

56% between now and 2030 the 1.4 billion

and many of them are going to contract

non communicable diseases if they

haven’t already

diabetes heart disease cancers how are

we going to be prepared for the

public-private partnerships are

collaborative structures designed for a

specific purpose or project where

there’s a sharing of risks resources and

decisions this is different than other

other structures because they involve

governance it’s the sharing of decisions

that matters and when we look at these

two rocks formations and we see the

climbers we think of a partnership think

about their equipment as a resource

there’s specific skills to get up there

and how dependent they are on their

decisions and the decisions of the other

person but when we’re looking at this as

a partnership we want to think about

what’s my reference point to be a

partner is it has been my parents are

they partners and I identify with that

type of partnership is it where I work

perhaps I’m in a partnership a

partnership that’s an institution or has

become one and public-private

partnerships essentially our

institutional activities where people

make a tremendous individual difference

but they have to ask themselves who are

my other partners so do we think of

government whether it be the national

government the state government or

municipal government our governments our

partners in particular when I have a

complex problem but we also live in

communities and these communities

interact with the private sector and as

members of the community we are asking

ourselves all the time what is the

private sector doing with me that helps

me with the kinds of problems on concern

about and the private sector is saying

why can’t we get any energy from this

community or municipal government to

solve some problems around here where is

the facilitation for the partnership and

one of the reasons that facilitating

partnerships is so difficult is that our

skill set is often trapped by bias we

know that to partner with another party

means working with someone we don’t like

we don’t agree with but who we need for

approvals or we need for resources how

often in the nonprofit world do we look

at a donor and say oh you’re fantastic

and we’re thinking just give me the

money so I can do my job so unless a

public-private partnership has respect

trust and credibility

it will never be sustainable the

partners are not going to be able to get

together and stay together because the

government doesn’t trust the private

sector because of profit motives or

maybe communities don’t want government

to rezone around them in the name of

economic development whatever the issue

is

ppp’s require this to start but this is

a lot to ask for so as a practical

matter I’m suggesting we look at skills

vance skills that are necessary for

public-private partnerships one that’s

very relevant to the TEDx talk today is

negotiation because we’re asked to think

about how to negotiate our way through

other through different dimensions to

deal with obstacles and in particular if

we’re interested in innovation we have

obstacles and innovation is not exactly

the same as creativity it’s a process to

manage to seek opportunity to remove

barriers often through negotiation but

we want to have our strategic thinking

set up before we take these actions what

do we actually need to get it done and

who can do this with us the who involves

political management because often we’re

dealing across cultures across countries

across the culture of institutions and

political management skills are vital

and public/private partnerships and they

can’t be left just to the politicians we

are very focused today on how to do

things financially will it work

will it be economical what’s the

financial structure in fact many of my

students that’s really what they want to

know just give me the model but where

we’re going to learn in the cases I’m

going to cover today is the model

without the right assumptions is of no

value so we’re very focused on the

thinking that goes into assumptions and

then how to communicate the real risks

and probable outcomes and to do it as

transparently as possible so these

skills can’t be allocated to six

different people you have to be the

master of several of them and your team

has to be the master of all of them now

to make this work we want to go through

cases because this is the way you teach

public private partnerships and when we

look at this picture we know that this

park is magnificent clearly one of the

best in the world it ought to be because

of the 58 million visitors who come to

New York City every year 44 million make

their way to Central Park

in this park as great as it looks today

took a number of decades through the

Central Park Conservancy z– resources

risk management and decision making to

make this Conservancy work as a PPP it’s

not the only part PPP in New York and

each one like the rock formations is

different but it’s been very effective

because of the 44 million people there

going into that part because it’s free

yes open access yes

safe yes but they may not be aware that

it wasn’t always that way

the park was unsafe it was very badly

maintained it was dusty and abandoned

and it took communities and the private

sector to make that change and if we

look at this we have to ask what type of

Public Liability can a public-private

partnership convert to a public asset so

if we look at this abandoned elevated

freight railroad track on the west side

of Manhattan

that’s the Hudson River it’s not doing

anything and it hasn’t for decades it’s

been abandoned because freight trains no

longer go to these enormous buildings on

the west side of Manhattan where goods

would be dropped off manufactured goods

loaded on because New York was a

manufacturing center it’s hard to

believe but through imagination and a

change of process in the use of a PPP we

have the High Line the High Line is a

240 million dollar 7 acre project it’s

attracted 80 million in private sector

money 7 million visitors a year has had

an effect on the economic development of

the Chelsea area and the Westside a

different image with no economic

development apparently is this road the

Indiana toll road this is 150 mile ride

a road a public-private partnership

started by the governor of Indiana in

2006

it doesn’t look heavily traveled this is

not the New Jersey Turnpike this is a

major thoroughfare though why it’s

important

is that the revenue from tolls pays for

the economics of the partnership the 3.8

billion dollars that investors put up

but not enough because by 2014 this

public-private partnership went bankrupt

the assumptions used to estimate traffic

were wrong

the governor was smart he used the money

to pay down debt but also improve other

roads trucks went on other roads

diverted in order to lower their fares

and improve their profits something very

fast and very modern is a 17 billion

dollar Taiwan high-speed rail an

engineering marvel built through

mountains Rock built to resist typhoons

came in on budget on time and operates

on time 99% of the time except the

assumptions were too optimistic half the

riders who expected in the first two

years didn’t show up and the 17 billion

needed to be financed by banks and their

ability to be repaid was slower and more

partial than anybody wanted but there

was a negotiation here where the

government accepted the demand of the

banks to guarantee the loans good thing

how does this happen these are smart

people it happened because of

compromises the stations were built

where it was less expensive but not as

me not as many people were there they

didn’t raise the tolls on the highways

to move people from their car seats to

the train seats and it failed

financially but it went on operationally

because it was so well done so if we ask

ourselves public-private partnerships

this is pretty good stuff look at the

variety of problems from parks to roads

to transportation and certainly electric

power and telecom this is great stuff

but how many people were we impact tens

of millions of people but at the

beginning of the talk I talked about

billions of people so we have to rethink

the benefits of how to apply

public-private partnerships in

particular to healthcare and people who

have health and other needs house

going to work for them so we go back to

a set of hands in rural China and this

woman is one of 250 million elderly and

that number is on track to be four

hundred and fifty men just by 2030 the

elderly are an asset in China very port

and part of families and they they

require treatment in terms of their

future how is it going to work they need

operational capacity built for them

innovation that can be applied to them

and financial resources when we think

about assembling a public-private

partnership for the elderly just in one

country and there are large elderly

populations building in many developed

countries and certainly in emerging

markets we have to think of a whole new

army practically of human resources to

care for people and to do it under

government licensing and registration

and regulations that make sense and to

have assisted living facilities that are

appropriate and affordable and

sensitivity to the cultural implications

of the elderly in this particular

country and social policies to support

it and last we need technology because

I’m not talking about face time where

the grandparent is talking to the

granddaughter we’re talking about how to

connect people in terms of diagnosis to

allow prevention to be more prevalent

and impacting human behaviors

interaction with the elderly care

complex to do that the thought process

for public-private partnerships is going

to be changing to reach the scale we

need for these large problems we need to

think about a different construct so

we’re going to take all the things are

six skills that I mentioned earlier a

multi asset approach such as in the

Taiwan high-speed rail and we need to

look at behavioral change Central Park

works because people now respect it and

take care of it all public assets do

better when people are contributing to

their maintenance in some form

and when we have institutional

leadership institutional leadership that

is more steady-state where we feel that

we’re not just going to run from one

political cycle to the next but more

along the course of the life of the

asset or our needs how to think this

through

we need technology to help us think this

through

cognitive intelligence is on the horizon

now and applying it to healthcare and

particularly when we’re combining

prevention and treatment as opposed to

treatment alone and applying to people

whose awareness levels are low and how

to obtain information faster but we’re

dealing with billions of decisions about

billions of people and it’s not going to

take a lot of smart people to do that

it’s going to be technology plus smart

people plus government and the different

sectors working together so to do that

we want to understand the important

lessons that we’re trying to learn

through this talk one we have three

elements in public-private partnerships

that really count our communities that’s

where we are our communities where

public value needs to be enhanced where

there has to be protection of public

assets and where there has to be

long-term decisions that match our needs

over time particularly as we get older

or we have young people who need to be

educated we need to have a government

that is our fiduciary steady-state

fiduciary and a regulator not too hot

not too cold again a predictable

regulator and very important is that

government be a facilitator because

government can facilitate interaction

between communities in the private

sector when it wants to the private

sector we know from the case studies

will show up for financing if the

project looks reasonable they have the

money they want to participate they will

be efficient in these large projects

that we can be confident and can they be

innovative far more innovative I’m

afraid than most governments but by

having the government’s work more

closely with communities in the private

sector

innovation can be achieved through

public-private partnership so this is

the idea and this is what we can all

work on together in the future thank you [Applause]

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