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Cyber Technology | Michele Mosca | TEDxWesternU


it’s a real pleasure to be here and

thanks so much for your presence and

your attention in recent years we’ve

moved so much of our lives from usual

physical space up to cyberspace we’ve

done so because it’s brought about so

many convenient and helpful

opportunities we’ve embraced this for so

many reasons it’s allowed us to do

things that previously weren’t even

imaginable and in the coming years we’re

going to embrace cyberspace even more in

ways we surely can’t even imagine today

this means however that cybersecurity

will pose an increasing threat to our

safety and security and while there’s

great enthusiasm to seize these new

opportunities the new business

opportunities and so on there isn’t it

isn’t as much fun or an exciting

business opportunity to make things safe

and because of this imbalance

it means our cyber systems will not be

threats to cyber security we don’t even

understand them today let alone the ones

that are coming and when you’re facing

such fast moving and changing threat

landscape what you need is sort of the

analogy of a strong immune system we

need a cyber immune system that’s able

to quickly recognize and adapt and

mitigate the new and evolving threats

but we don’t have anything close to that

what is surely for me the most

unexpected threat to cyber security when

I would never have anticipated was the

emergence of a new paradigm for physics

over a century ago so it’s helpful to

explain the difference between a new

paradigm for physics versus a new theory

invented within a paradigm for physics

new paradigm is like the Flat Earth

model for the world it’s a mathematical

model and then we we explore

the earth we discover new lands and

oceans and so on we measure things and

we we take pictures of them and we draw

them in this – or this two dimensional

Flat Earth model that we have and it

works fine for a while but as you know

as we start to discover more and more

things start to break down we get

paradoxes how could we have sailed west

and ended up in the east and you can try

really hard to come up with some pretty

harebrained

contorted explanations to make sense of

what you’re seeing but ultimately what

you need is not more precise

measurements and more discovering of

hard facts but you need a new

mathematical paradigm when you take the

knowledge you have and embed it in a

spherical model for the world the

paradoxes vanish you have a much deeper

or accurate understanding of what’s

going on around you and this new

understanding of the world also opened

up many new opportunities for Humanity

once we learn the earth was spherical so

quantum theory a century ago there were

a number of puzzles paradoxes things we

didn’t understand why is matter stable

because the calculations calculations

showed that atoms should only exist for

a tiny fraction of a second well that’s

not the case

why is atomic spectra discrete why

doesn’t the ultraviolet catastrophe

occur and so on and you know the problem

was that people thought well we just

need to try a little harder and we’ll

resolve those problems it turned out

what we needed was a new paradigm for

physics a new mathematical language for

physics the language we had at the time

allowed us to talk about an electron

being here or there or there or there

but that language wasn’t powerful enough

to resolve these paradoxes what we

needed was a language that allowed an

electron to be here and there at the

same time so what does that mean

so understanding what that means is

beyond the scope of this lecture it’s

actually beyond the scope of any lecture

I’ve ever given ok famous American

physicist and Nobel laureate Richard

Feynman said it’s a mystery we don’t

understand it but we can tell you how it

works

so this new mathematical paradigm allows

electron or any other particle to be in

many different configurations at the

so what does this have to do with

cybersecurity and computation so a

computer is a device that stores

information in a physical system usually

a two-state system that we call a bit

something that can store a 0 or a 1 it’s

two distinguishable States we label one

state zero the other state 1 the old

days these could have been a mechanical

switch up or down and in recent decades

transistors that can be on or off so we

have physical systems like this you know

one of these ions here could be a bit in

two distinguishable States and store

zero this one could store one zero zero

one for example but this bit if we take

advantage of the quantum paradigm the

quantum properties of this system can

actually be zero and one at the same

time with different quantum

probabilities of being in zero and one

and these five bits these five quantum

bits can be in 32 different states at

the same time all 0 0 0 0 1 and so on

all at the same time whatever that means

but in some meaningful way it really is

these 10 bits can be in a thousand and

twenty four states at the same time

these twenty bits can be in over a

million configurations at the same time

in thousands and millions and billions

of such quantum bits can be an

astronomically many configurations all

at the same time it’s mind-boggling this

opens up the possibility that such a

device could perhaps solve some problems

astronomically faster than we thought it

could in the classical paradigm for

physics here’s an example of a quantum

bit this is just a little loop of

superconducting material you can have

thousands of electrons going this way

that’s a zero

thousands of electrons flowing that way

that’s a one

and scientists have figured out how to

get these electrons to be going this way

or that way at the same time there’s

four of these quantum bits here and

these wiggly lines are ways that they

can interact and you can perform

computational logic and this is an ion

trap it’s again a mechanism for trapping

ions in a two-dimensional surface

essentially an instantiation of this

kind of vision okay so the quantum

paradigm for physics leads to a new

paradigm for computation the thing with

new paradigms is they’re very exciting

and wonderful in hindsight but at the

time we don’t really embrace them with

such enthusiasm typically it’s just

human nature that when something is

pushing us out of our comfort zone we

tend to look for all sorts of reasons

and explanations to ignore the

inconvenient truths we seem to be sort

of hardwired for policy-driven evidence

so to speak so this new paradigm offers

us many wonderful opportunities if we

can build these quantum computers for

example there are certain problems that

we can solve astronomically faster so if

we want to simulate quantum materials

design new quantum materials materials

that we can do it much faster with a

quantum computer so we can design for

example there’s the opportunity to

design new materials for much better

energy capture and energy transport or

the better design of new drugs or design

of new fertilizers and so on we can also

optimize the allocation the use of very

precious resources much better than we

ever thought was possible such as again

energy or algorithm algorithms for

scheduling and so on related quantum

technologies allow for ultra sensitive

and much less invasive measurements in

imaging and then medical imaging for

these are just a few examples that we

know of the truth of the matter is just

as the beginning of wireless

communication or of computation or of

the Internet in the early days of these

fundamental new discoveries we really

had almost no clue what the impact would

be on our lives completely incapable of

predicting and I believe that we really

have only scratched the surface of what

these new quantum technologies are going

to offer humanity and I very much look

forward to seeing what the new

generation discovers and brings to the

world there is one catch however one

tiny little detail we do need to think

about cyber security today now I’ll

connect to what computation has to do a

cyber security is based on a couple

things many things but one of them is

that certain problems are easy to do

it’s easy to multiply two numbers and

that’s good because it means we can

encrypt and decrypt our emails for

example very quickly without even

noticing it that’s good it also means

that certain it also appears as certain

problems are hard if I give you a large

number and I say well what are its prime

factors for a large enough number we

just it just takes forever to do that

that’s good because this is a problem if

a hacker could do that they could break

the codes based on this problem so the

fact that certain computational problems

are hard give us a way to protect

ourselves in a digital world and the

catch is that a colleague discovered

that Peter shor discovered that if you

could build a quantum computer factoring

actually becomes easy fortunately he

discovered it 20 years ago more than 20

years ago before quantum computers for

reality and there’s the large-scale

quantum computers still aren’t reality

so if we can build when we harness fully

harness to cut the power of quantum

mechanics for computation we’re going to

break some of the most fundamental

pillars of our cybersecurity

but that’s a very unpleasant thing to

have happen okay and it takes that the

fact of the matter is it takes many

years to fix these problems I mean I

believe so one approach is to say well

these quantum computers they’re never

going to happen in our lifetimes so we

can just ignore this but and that’s what

I thought

initially but that my supervisor

encouraged me to study this problem a

little more and then I realized I was

wrong and that I became very confident

that we would see large-scale quantum

computers while I was still in the

middle of my career and and currently

right now based on progress I’ve seen in

technology I believe there’s about a 50%

chance that these computers will be real

that we’ll be able to break these codes

by in about 15 years you might think ok

we have 15 years to worry about it not

know because it takes about 15 years to

fix the problem these are not easy

problems to fix these are long and

complicated tasks and the price of

procrastination isn’t just more frequent

cyber punch to the face we’re talking

about critical cyber systems collapsing

the internet financial payment systems

and so on true global catastrophes if we

do nothing so there are solutions like

we know what the solutions are at least

at a high level the first and most

obvious thing to do is find new

mathematical codes that we don’t think

can be broken by a quantum computer

there’s always a chance they will be so

there’s still that risk but essentially

we can recreate the status quo and have

sort of good enough security tools

cryptographic tools that will protect us

again with high probability against the

most likely attacks so we can sort of

recreate the status quo but maybe this

cyber threat was a blessing in disguise

because not only does it allow us we

have to all this work to recreate the

status quo but it also gives us

something extra quantum cryptography

another feature of the quantum paradigm

that didn’t

in the classical paradigm is that to

extract a little bit of information you

must disturb a little bit and the amount

of disturbance is proportional to how

much you extract so if you extract a

little bit more information

you must disturb proportionately more

and this is a requirement it’s not like

if you’re a little more clever or a

little more careful no this is just

fundamental by the laws of physics so we

have this intrinsic eavesdrop or defect

ability thanks to the quantum paradigm

this allows us to create a new

generation of cryptographic tools that

are cryptographically unbreakable and

these are a wonderful complement to

these other conventional tools that

provide maybe a more practical more

efficient good enough security and

together we can have a much stronger

cryptographic infrastructure than we

ever thought was imaginable and be much

safer in a cyber world the question is

are we going to deploy this new suite of

tools in time while there are many very

difficult science and technology

challenges to solving these problems I

don’t want to underestimate them for

example we have quantum cryptography

solutions on the order of a few hundred

kilometers but there’s a long way to go

before it’s a globally deployable

solution there’s a lot of work to be

done even to deploy the conventional

cryptographic alternatives it’s a lot of

work to be done but I have brilliant

colleagues all around the world

scientists and engineers who are ready

and keen to tackle those problems that I

have no doubt they will and I naively

used to think well once we communicate

this problem and the solutions the rest

will be details and then I very quickly

realized that those details are the

hardest part of the problem the hardest

part of the problem appears to be

getting the political decisions the

policy decisions the business decisions

and most importantly the personal

decisions needed to drive the necessary

changes to make the world more cyber

safe that appears to be hardest part so

like food safety car safety and so on

these are not driven by Marv

get forces alone and neither will cyber

safety experts have told me you know

until we have the cyber equivalent of

Pearl Harbor where many lives are lost

in a very visceral way we’re not really

going to have the emotional buy-in we’re

not going to have the necessary buy-in

to make the changes we need to make the

world a cyber safe as we know it could

and should be

well that worries me and I hope we can

bypass that that terrible step and find

ways to make the world safer without

first having this very much more

catastrophic event than we’ve witnessed

we can drive the necessary necessary

policy decisions and business decisions

how can we do that well for one we can

we can reject some of the the false

decisions or the false choices were

often told about so for example we’re

often given this impression that we must

choose between security and privacy or

freedom so we’re sort of like a

Heisenberg uncertainty principle okay

like to have this much security you have

to give up this much privacy that’s not

the case it’s it’s certainly possible

brilliant colleagues around the world

can develop tools that allow us to have

both analogously insecurity is not a

fundamental part there’s not a

fundamental requirement for being able

to embrace and enjoy what the next

generation of technologies offer it’s

just not a fundamental part of that so I

hope I’m optimistic that we’re able to

embrace the bright new future that these

new technologies offer and at the same

time live in a safer and freer world thanks very much for your attention

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