[Music]
[Applause]
so what is a lifeline it’s that rope you
throw out to somebody if they’re
drowning for some of us remember the
show Who Wants to Be a Millionaire the
lifeline was a person you could call
they answer the question you didn’t know
the answer to it’s a way of helping us
to bring people back help them move
forward now let’s switch gears two
lifetimes so back in the 1970s Alvin
Toffler wrote the book future shock it
had some pretty interesting ideas in it
right it suggested in the future people
might have personal spaceships they
might have throwaway clothes they so all
kinds of ideas of what the future might
look like now most of those didn’t hit
the nail on the head one of the very
interesting ones is when you took a new
job in another city instead of moving
your family you’d get a new family right
kind of a bizarre thing to think about
some kind to do that but so those didn’t
hit the nail on the head but could we
have imagined in the 1970s the internet
nanotechnology
social media the way we know it today so
many things that really have happened
and his point was this notion of
accelerating change and how that was
going to change everything around us but
most particularly this thing we call the
world of work right how would that
change jobs well I’m an industrial
engineer and in fact we’re trained to
study work and in 1980 I started that by
studying assembly line workers at
General Motors in Michigan and it was
very common to have an assembly line
worker that what they did lots of women
like you see in this picture they might
drive eight screws or eight bulbs in the
back of an instrument panel all day long
five days a week eight hours a day for
three or four years until there might be
maybe some kind of ergonomic improvement
or until you got to the next month
and that’s what they did and we had
millions of manufacturing workers that
did that kind of work but then some
things started to happen we had this
place called Japan were a couple
concepts American concepts were adopted
we had Deming with statistical process
controls making things better we had
Phil Crosby I should say so yes
statistical process controls and Phil
Crosby with continuous improvement and
all of a sudden the Japanese were making
high-quality cars at an affordable rate
and Detroit was no longer the epicenter
of manufacturing particularly in the
automotive industry at the same time
looking for cost savings we had
manufacturers going to other places so
they looked to countries like Mexico
China Vietnam where they could get labor
at about a dollar an hour and so things
started changing in that world and in
fact the peak of manufacturing
employment was 1977 the least we saw in
manufacturing was 9% right after the
Great Recession and so things were
changing now let’s add to that another
concept we saw computer world before us
so we started in the 70 some of us
learned Fortran and punch cards we
remember all that I remember my first
portable computer in 1980s that was as
big as my sewing machine right you could
carry it if you were strong enough today
our smartphones do so much more than any
of those computers and in fact this
concept of Moore’s law was developed
because we were moving technology so
fast in fact it was based on the concept
that the more transistors were being
used in integrated circle circuits and
we were doubling them every two years
and technology our computing power was
increasing at such rates and again
driving that change and that affected
jobs so some of us would think ok well
at first we remember
otice it came out and we could now do
spreadsheets so maybe there were a few
bookkeepers that work no longer having
those jobs and then we even remembers
the secretarial pool that used to be out
there right when WordPerfect came out we
don’t we now have children who learned
the QWERTY keyboard before they can read
words and so things have changed so what
jobs as you study work what jobs are
really at risk and so think about I’ve
talked about some of those low skill
manufacturing but what about CDL truck
drivers right we’ve got autonomous
vehicles already being tested on the
roads so in a very few years those will
be at risk how about some of those
postal workers how many it when’s the
last time you put a snail mail piece of
mail in your mailbox right I only get
junk mail now what about in restaurants
where we have both fast-food and sit
down
how many have used a kiosk to do your
ordering and or pain in that situation
or a realtor let’s think about
zillow.com and Lending Tree and all
those aids we have that look make it so
much different so it’s fair to say there
are a lot of jobs at risk and this
really speaks to what I would call the
displacement of workers right we’re
going to displace Scot McCorkle the
ex-ceo or exact target which is now
Salesforce great tech firm in Indiana he
spoke at the Indiana Chamber retreat the
spring and he said his greatest concern
is the number of workers that will be
displaced and this goes right back to
Alvin Toffler
conversations and his book about this
accelerating rate of change and the
impact that that’s going to have and so
what are we going to do about it as we
have that it means higher education is
ever ever more important and so in
across the nation Lumina Foundation has
set this big goal this big goal says
that 60% of all of our workforce across
America really needs to have a
post-secondary degree or credential by
22
five well that sounds good where are we
as a nation we’re in the mid 40s some
countries are already there South Korea
is seventy percent we have some states
like Massachusetts that are there
Indiana
we’re not there were 41 percent and so
over 30 states across the country have
adopted this lumina goal and it will
take everything we can do to get there
so let me just talk about a few of the
things we might want to do to get there
of course we want higher education to
continue adding and guess what for two
and four-year institutions have done a
great job of really taking in more
students we have about 80 percent of
high school students now going on to
some form of higher education the sad
fact is about half of them will finish
some kind of degree or credential the
other thing we can do is look at what
kinds of work needs to be done and that
means aligning to the workforce needs
you know what Lumina found is it wasn’t
just degrees it was certificates
certifications and degrees I let me talk
about that a certificate is a shorter
term it may not take two years or four
years but it has high value in what you
do a licensed practical nurse is a
one-year technical certificate a
certification many of us know Microsoft
those are great certifications Cisco
certifications great certifications that
can get you really good jobs and so what
we’ve not done is helped our next
generation understand what those high
value are and that not everything is a
traditional or your degree so I think we
can work with that but here’s the part
we really need to worry about it’s the
fact that we have a lot of adults out
there and those adults are going to be
displaced and in fact 20% of those
adults that are out there have started
college at some point but they haven’t
finished it they don’t have a degree or
credential the show fart and yet we have
great opportunity to try to bring them
back and find ways to help them
so let me talk about one thing we call
prior learning assessment it is taking
all those experiences an adult has and
giving them credit where credit is due
so many of them are subject matter
experts and anything from accounting to
finance to running a warehouse can we
find a way to give them credit for those
things and so their big movement out
there and we make sure that we are
accommodating for these adults as
they’re coming out to come back into
those high-value opportunities what I
really want to talk to you about is some
transformational ideas that we could do
so how could it really look different
than it looks today so let me give you a
couple of ideas well what if that adult
they’re gonna we’re all gonna pay into
Social Security for a really long time
what if we allowed adults to take that
Social Security and invested in their
career to be retrained to train up right
because Alvin Toffler knew that one
career was not gonna take you everywhere
you need it to be for me my first degree
got me to being an engineer my masters
and PhD led me into academia and then I
had a certificate that helped me learn
how to do political things to be trained
in that area of public service so how do
we help adults have that way of making
that transition so just imagine if you
could take some of that 13 percent you
pay the government and put that towards
some higher education and make that
investment in yourself for that next
career but imagine if we ensured that
all institutions had to accept credit
from other places I’m talking about the
Euro for a transfer so wherever you got
that course you could take it anywhere
else across the country to continue on
so you weren’t losing credit now in
Indiana we do a pretty good job we have
about up to 100 courses and what we call
the core transfer library that allows us
to do that but we could do so much more
with it
and what if we really let adults able to
write off all those costs and if we
engaged our employers in helping to give
them tax credits where they could really
not only for the time that expense of
that retraining but if they let you do
the time off because guess what adults
live really busy lives they have
families they have commitments they have
other things but could we really look at
this very very differently but what we
know is the future is gonna be very
different out there we are in the midst
of this displacement going on around us
we’re seeing it and yet how do we
prepare for it in higher education is
going to need to be a really really big
piece of it this notion of tsunami there
is a tsunami coming in work force
displacement across the careers I shared
but many many more the question is will
higher education will government’s will
be employers well States and federal
leaders step up and say how do we help
be a part of this solution and will we
be able to be the lifeline to the middle
class thank you
[Applause]
[Music]
[Applause]
so what is a lifeline it’s that rope you
throw out to somebody if they’re
drowning for some of us remember the
show Who Wants to Be a Millionaire the
lifeline was a person you could call
they answer the question you didn’t know
the answer to it’s a way of helping us
to bring people back help them move
forward now let’s switch gears two
lifetimes so back in the 1970s Alvin
Toffler wrote the book future shock it
had some pretty interesting ideas in it
right it suggested in the future people
might have personal spaceships they
might have throwaway clothes they so all
kinds of ideas of what the future might
look like now most of those didn’t hit
the nail on the head one of the very
interesting ones is when you took a new
job in another city instead of moving
your family you’d get a new family right
kind of a bizarre thing to think about
some kind to do that but so those didn’t
hit the nail on the head but could we
have imagined in the 1970s the internet
nanotechnology
social media the way we know it today so
many things that really have happened
and his point was this notion of
accelerating change and how that was
going to change everything around us but
most particularly this thing we call the
world of work right how would that
change jobs well I’m an industrial
engineer and in fact we’re trained to
study work and in 1980 I started that by
studying assembly line workers at
General Motors in Michigan and it was
very common to have an assembly line
worker that what they did lots of women
like you see in this picture they might
drive eight screws or eight bulbs in the
back of an instrument panel all day long
five days a week eight hours a day for
three or four years until there might be
maybe some kind of ergonomic improvement
or until you got to the next month
and that’s what they did and we had
millions of manufacturing workers that
did that kind of work but then some
things started to happen we had this
place called Japan were a couple
concepts American concepts were adopted
we had Deming with statistical process
controls making things better we had
Phil Crosby I should say so yes
statistical process controls and Phil
Crosby with continuous improvement and
all of a sudden the Japanese were making
high-quality cars at an affordable rate
and Detroit was no longer the epicenter
of manufacturing particularly in the
automotive industry at the same time
looking for cost savings we had
manufacturers going to other places so
they looked to countries like Mexico
China Vietnam where they could get labor
at about a dollar an hour and so things
started changing in that world and in
fact the peak of manufacturing
employment was 1977 the least we saw in
manufacturing was 9% right after the
Great Recession and so things were
changing now let’s add to that another
concept we saw computer world before us
so we started in the 70 some of us
learned Fortran and punch cards we
remember all that I remember my first
portable computer in 1980s that was as
big as my sewing machine right you could
carry it if you were strong enough today
our smartphones do so much more than any
of those computers and in fact this
concept of Moore’s law was developed
because we were moving technology so
fast in fact it was based on the concept
that the more transistors were being
used in integrated circle circuits and
we were doubling them every two years
and technology our computing power was
increasing at such rates and again
driving that change and that affected
jobs so some of us would think ok well
at first we remember
otice it came out and we could now do
spreadsheets so maybe there were a few
bookkeepers that work no longer having
those jobs and then we even remembers
the secretarial pool that used to be out
there right when WordPerfect came out we
don’t we now have children who learned
the QWERTY keyboard before they can read
words and so things have changed so what
jobs as you study work what jobs are
really at risk and so think about I’ve
talked about some of those low skill
manufacturing but what about CDL truck
drivers right we’ve got autonomous
vehicles already being tested on the
roads so in a very few years those will
be at risk how about some of those
postal workers how many it when’s the
last time you put a snail mail piece of
mail in your mailbox right I only get
junk mail now what about in restaurants
where we have both fast-food and sit
down
how many have used a kiosk to do your
ordering and or pain in that situation
or a realtor let’s think about
zillow.com and Lending Tree and all
those aids we have that look make it so
much different so it’s fair to say there
are a lot of jobs at risk and this
really speaks to what I would call the
displacement of workers right we’re
going to displace Scot McCorkle the
ex-ceo or exact target which is now
Salesforce great tech firm in Indiana he
spoke at the Indiana Chamber retreat the
spring and he said his greatest concern
is the number of workers that will be
displaced and this goes right back to
Alvin Toffler
conversations and his book about this
accelerating rate of change and the
impact that that’s going to have and so
what are we going to do about it as we
have that it means higher education is
ever ever more important and so in
across the nation Lumina Foundation has
set this big goal this big goal says
that 60% of all of our workforce across
America really needs to have a
post-secondary degree or credential by
22
five well that sounds good where are we
as a nation we’re in the mid 40s some
countries are already there South Korea
is seventy percent we have some states
like Massachusetts that are there
Indiana
we’re not there were 41 percent and so
over 30 states across the country have
adopted this lumina goal and it will
take everything we can do to get there
so let me just talk about a few of the
things we might want to do to get there
of course we want higher education to
continue adding and guess what for two
and four-year institutions have done a
great job of really taking in more
students we have about 80 percent of
high school students now going on to
some form of higher education the sad
fact is about half of them will finish
some kind of degree or credential the
other thing we can do is look at what
kinds of work needs to be done and that
means aligning to the workforce needs
you know what Lumina found is it wasn’t
just degrees it was certificates
certifications and degrees I let me talk
about that a certificate is a shorter
term it may not take two years or four
years but it has high value in what you
do a licensed practical nurse is a
one-year technical certificate a
certification many of us know Microsoft
those are great certifications Cisco
certifications great certifications that
can get you really good jobs and so what
we’ve not done is helped our next
generation understand what those high
value are and that not everything is a
traditional or your degree so I think we
can work with that but here’s the part
we really need to worry about it’s the
fact that we have a lot of adults out
there and those adults are going to be
displaced and in fact 20% of those
adults that are out there have started
college at some point but they haven’t
finished it they don’t have a degree or
credential the show fart and yet we have
great opportunity to try to bring them
back and find ways to help them
so let me talk about one thing we call
prior learning assessment it is taking
all those experiences an adult has and
giving them credit where credit is due
so many of them are subject matter
experts and anything from accounting to
finance to running a warehouse can we
find a way to give them credit for those
things and so their big movement out
there and we make sure that we are
accommodating for these adults as
they’re coming out to come back into
those high-value opportunities what I
really want to talk to you about is some
transformational ideas that we could do
so how could it really look different
than it looks today so let me give you a
couple of ideas well what if that adult
they’re gonna we’re all gonna pay into
Social Security for a really long time
what if we allowed adults to take that
Social Security and invested in their
career to be retrained to train up right
because Alvin Toffler knew that one
career was not gonna take you everywhere
you need it to be for me my first degree
got me to being an engineer my masters
and PhD led me into academia and then I
had a certificate that helped me learn
how to do political things to be trained
in that area of public service so how do
we help adults have that way of making
that transition so just imagine if you
could take some of that 13 percent you
pay the government and put that towards
some higher education and make that
investment in yourself for that next
career but imagine if we ensured that
all institutions had to accept credit
from other places I’m talking about the
Euro for a transfer so wherever you got
that course you could take it anywhere
else across the country to continue on
so you weren’t losing credit now in
Indiana we do a pretty good job we have
about up to 100 courses and what we call
the core transfer library that allows us
to do that but we could do so much more
with it
and what if we really let adults able to
write off all those costs and if we
engaged our employers in helping to give
them tax credits where they could really
not only for the time that expense of
that retraining but if they let you do
the time off because guess what adults
live really busy lives they have
families they have commitments they have
other things but could we really look at
this very very differently but what we
know is the future is gonna be very
different out there we are in the midst
of this displacement going on around us
we’re seeing it and yet how do we
prepare for it in higher education is
going to need to be a really really big
piece of it this notion of tsunami there
is a tsunami coming in work force
displacement across the careers I shared
but many many more the question is will
higher education will government’s will
be employers well States and federal
leaders step up and say how do we help
be a part of this solution and will we
be able to be the lifeline to the middle
class thank you
[Applause]
[Music]
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