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Mass Manufacturing of Satellites | Tom Segert | TEDxHUBerlin


my name is Tom I would like to talk to

you today about making satellites and

not making a single satellite but making

lots and lots of them

and before I can do that I would like to

take you to space right so space the

final frontier these are the voyages of

the Starship Enterprise

it’s continuing mission to explore

strange new worlds to seek out new life

and new civilizations to boldly go where

no one has gone before

well as a space engineer I can actually

tell you this is a very lonely voyage

right so the crew of the enterprise

actually had it very good right so every

week they would meet somebody a new

civilization a new entity in space but

actually the whole business up until now

is very lonely the reality is it is

basically in business of one a prime

example of this is the International

Space Station this is probably the most

complex and for sure the most expensive

technical machine that we have ever

built it costs more than 100 billion

dollars and was built over a decade and

when it will be retired in 2024 right

these chances are very very limited that

there will be a machine like this the

same is true for other space projects

right you know there are hundreds and

hundreds of thousands of people who have

backyard telescopes and even the

professional astronomers every mountain

range in the darkness of of the remote

places has telescopes but we only have

one Space Telescope the Hubble Space

Telescope so since its launch we have

spent about 10 billion dollars to build

this telescope to launch it and to

service it and will there be another one

the International Space Station and the

Hubble Space Telescope are by its

definition singular devices and surely

for normal satellites you know that must

be different because there are so many

of those but no it is virtually the same

basically if you take the

telecommunication satellites right every

nation has one so we have more than 150

of these satellites in space

however they live for about 15 years

that means in every year all over the

world less than 10 satellites of this

type are being built in fact this year

only five satellites have been built the

reason is very easy they’re the size of

a truck and they cost about half a

billion to build and construct and shut

one of them fail each of us here would

feel the consequences and so what do we

do we can’t just really send a mechanic

up there to repair it right well

technically we can so satellite services

exist but you know we have tried it and

it doesn’t really work the few missions

that we have done that relied on two

astronauts and the Space Shuttle that’s

no longer in service

are actually much more expensive than

building a new version so each of the

Hubble Space Telescope service missions

cost about twice of the expected amount

to make a new hub Hubble Space Telescope

so that doesn’t really make sense so

until we have robotic service craft that

doesn’t rely on astronauts and

satellites that are specifically

constructed to do so there’s not much

feasibility in this type of stuff so

high development costs are the status

quo of the industry these highly

development costs lead to a very very

small number of devices and so if we

really want to go boldly to where no one

has gone before this has to change

and to change this I basically drew an

inspiration from a different industry an

industry that has faced these problems

before the automotive industry so before

1914 cars were very rare they were

luxury items and only very select few

you know mostly very rich or very noble

people could actually afford a car so

they were built in very low quantities

and where they’re not really accessible

that all changed in 1914 when the

conveyor belt correction was introduced

and the Ford team model became the first

car that was manufactured on a large

scale and was available for larger

audience it was produced until 1927

until today it is one of the most

produced cars in the world and you have

to keep in mind without any robots it

was produced about 9,000 times a day and

the peak of its production cycle and so

what it came to this is you started in

1914 and basically up until today we

have about 200 million cars in the

United States alone and we are building

about 100 million cars every year so car

manufacturing has actually come a very

long way from the humble beginnings of a

tool for the very few and a rich and

basically it has been become something

that everybody can have so how have we

get how did we get there it started with

an idea and the idea was for first

formulated by a by Henry Ford which

basically said in a bridge version I

will build a motor car for the great

multitude so low in price that no man

making a good salary will be unable to

own one so that brings us back to the to

the satellites right so we are in a very

similar system that we have one

satellite

where it is actually cheaper to replace

than to repair and the the actual

devices are actually not very cheap

either so with the miniaturization of

electronics wouldn’t it be more sensible

to building satellites much smaller

instead of these truck size devices with

swing spans of 30 meters so can we build

smaller satellites indeed we can this is

a small satellite that has been built by

my company and was launched into space

in 2015 however there’s no such thing

like a free lunch so the same way that

not the same amount of people fit in a

sedan that then fit in a bus the physics

physics dictates that such a small

satellite has not the same capabilities

then has a big satellite so do we really

only have the chance at a choice to

either have a very very large satellite

very expensive very powerful but not

accessible for everybody or smaller

satellites that are lower cost but then

not really useful no we have other

options as well the same way that a

genius can be smarter than it than one

of us right

it cannot does that same genius cannot

be smarter than all the people that are

there and so a constellation is

basically the idea to replace one big

satellite by a great multitude of

smaller satellites

so essentially imagine yourself standing

on a very high tower right the higher

you built the tower

the further you can be seen the farther

your signals reach but the more powerful

that transmitter in that tower has to be

if you have a smaller Tower you need

much more towers to cover the same area

a communication satellite is essentially

and a consolation is the number of

smaller towers but many many so the idea

is why should I fly in 40,000 kilometers

above the ground where there are normal

very large satellites are for

communications cannot fly them much

lower and produce them in such a high

number but much smaller that itself I

can replace that bigger satellites and

what would you what would you know even

though we are producing such a very

large number the pure fact that we

remove them from the high orbit to a low

orbit makes disposal of those satellites

at the end of the lifetime much easier

which means that the whole problem of

space debris is much more addressable

however the business of that

constellation only works if we are able

to in fact produce this large number of

satellites in a short lifetime otherwise

we have the problem that once we built

the last satellite the first satellite

has already died so let’s have a look on

how we’re building satellites today so

let’s the satellite of us in the lab so

he would need actually some kind of new

technology but this technology exists it

has been pioneered here in Berlin by

research institutes and small companies

the big challenge of these satellites

today is that they’re actually built

very similar to these large satellites

so teams of about 50 people would need

about 2 years to build one and then you

can do easily the mass the salary of

these people alone would amount to about

10 million if you just built one device

every two years and if you multiply that

with a large number even though it is in

itself much cheaper it would be not

feasible so what does it actually take

to make such a constellation feasible we

have to reduce the build time and we

have to reduce the build time a very

great deal we have to reduce it from

by this we can reduce the production

cost which is largely basically your

salary of the engineers that do that so

we need to reduce the the costs to build

such a device from ten million to less

than five hundred thousand preferably to

three hundred thousand each that is a

cost reduction by ninety seven percent

and lots of at least we need to increase

our yearly production by a factor of

1,000 that sounds crazy right so we are

trying to improve the production by a

factor of 1,000 but we have to keep

something in mind one thousand devices a

year compared to the nine thousand cars

that force was able to build in one day

that’s actually very reasonable because

one thousand even though it’s a very

large number it is means that we only

have to build 20 devices per week so I

think that puts things into a into a

perspective so the question remains how

do we get into space basically to get

into space is made out of three

distinctive things you need to build a

device and then in order to make it work

in space you need to test and qualify it

and an obviously you need to fly it and

my company has basically managed to

speed up all of these three key tasks so

we can build and assemble these take

these technologies into components that

normally takes years into a matter of

weeks we can do the qualification and

testing and have proven that not into a

matter of six months but we have done

that in one or two weeks only to the

same level of quality that the others

have achieved well the launch is a bit

outside of our control right so the

rocket is not what we built but the way

a satellite is placed onto a rocket

involves a lot of testing if you can

automate this testing you can basically

shrink down the time you have to show up

before the rocket launch

from a matter of months to a matter of a

few hours so thus with these three steps

we can basically send more satellites to

space and make it a little less lonely

the question that you might ask yourself

well how does that effect mean well

let’s have a look into into back into

what the cars actually done right so the

idea of fort was I introduced a mass

manufacturing to allow everybody every

one of us to have a mobility and so the

question of the mass manufacturing from

the car industry is a great inspiration

for me not only from the technical point

of view but also from what resulted from

it more than just a feature of

technology it

it revolutionized the paradigmatic sess

the captains of industry back in the

20th centuries like Henry Ford child

Cinda or Howard dudes really recognized

that mobility was and has become the new

gold of the 20th century without a doubt

they applied as revolutionized the way

we can afford mobility and well for an

emperor owner perspective made them rich

in the process so that’s very welcome so

what was once only accessible for the

rich and the powerful became accessible

for all today cars are affordable trains

are plentiful and tickets for app

airplanes are accessible for most or

everybody these accessibility is a

testimony of the democratizing of the

access to this mobility and the East

which we enjoy this mobility has become

a part of our everyday life so what will

be the gold

of the 21st century most people believe

it’s gonna be information information

and data will make the difference

whether you can participate in the in

the society or not whether your business

will prosper whether your nation will

prosper and so on so the proverbs that

information is King and knowledge is

power basically come become more more

abundant because of their usefulness for

our everyday life so today big

nation-states and corporations spend a

lot of money to invest in systems that

can generate this type of data to yield

information and insight by interpreting

this data and accumulating it and so

this data and this information that is

generated from it allows them to have a

decisive advantage and for all of those

coming back to the satellites these are

actually tools which generate a large

amount of data they furthermore transmit

a large amount of data and thus are

enablers for our understanding and so in

a day and age of you know alternate

effects and fake news it’s very

important that not only a select few is

able to access this type of information

so and as long as these nations and

corporations which can afford this type

of stuff are the gatekeeper to this

information the general public will have

a disadvantage so what we actually have

to do in order to democratize this data

is to make it more accessible and to

make it more accessible you need to make

it more affordable and with the

generation of data via satellite that

means we need to make them affordable as

well and that we can do by the

introduction of mass

Manufacturing and so we believe here in

Berlin we believe in my company that

this time has come like it was the 20th

century to introduce mass manufacture

into cars and many other industries that

became then accessible for the great

multitude to make that accessible for

that production as well for satellites

so that all of us can benefit from that

and not just a few thank you very much [Applause]

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