times have changed over the last couple
hundred years and we were a culture at
one point that most people when they’re
farming I have a ranch sure to come a
knowledge with your neighbor then as
technologies advance you started getting
more and more specialized knowledge so
today we exist in society where there
are experts and how you know they’re an
expert is because they have a
certificate that says that they’re an
expert or an occupation but it’s fairly
easy to convince me that you’re an
expert and that’s kind of where
confidence comes in this is interesting
because it uses something that seems
very simple it’s three cups I want to
turn to and face down I want you to try
to turn over two at a time so watch me
and I’m gonna try to get all three of
the cups just to turn face up so here’s
one two three now that looks pretty easy
doesn’t it give it a shot you have to
turn over to it time use three turns go
ahead that’s one colin is short for
confidence can I make you feel overly
confident there’s different ways of
luring people into a confidence game
some of its simply asking them a
question and making them feel like they
have a safe knowledge of it until they
actually get their feet in the water
more always it’s deeper than they
thought 1 2 3 did you notice that it’s
on my left maybe you should try it on
your left instead go ahead and give it a
shot
one too a lot of times because we have
access to the Internet or this
information that I think it’s at our
fingertips we personally think that we
have we have a overconfidence in what we
know what we don’t know that’s something
that can be exploited you want me to
show you how it works there’s actually a
trick and something very small a lot of
times people make it they’re
overconfident and I think that what they
did is a little bit different here’s
what I was doing if the middle cup tells
you that they’re all going to be face-up
so when I turn them over as one two
three but when I handed it to you I turn
the middle one facedown so there’s no
way you could do it so I cheated a
little bit
hundred years and we were a culture at
one point that most people when they’re
farming I have a ranch sure to come a
knowledge with your neighbor then as
technologies advance you started getting
more and more specialized knowledge so
today we exist in society where there
are experts and how you know they’re an
expert is because they have a
certificate that says that they’re an
expert or an occupation but it’s fairly
easy to convince me that you’re an
expert and that’s kind of where
confidence comes in this is interesting
because it uses something that seems
very simple it’s three cups I want to
turn to and face down I want you to try
to turn over two at a time so watch me
and I’m gonna try to get all three of
the cups just to turn face up so here’s
one two three now that looks pretty easy
doesn’t it give it a shot you have to
turn over to it time use three turns go
ahead that’s one colin is short for
confidence can I make you feel overly
confident there’s different ways of
luring people into a confidence game
some of its simply asking them a
question and making them feel like they
have a safe knowledge of it until they
actually get their feet in the water
more always it’s deeper than they
thought 1 2 3 did you notice that it’s
on my left maybe you should try it on
your left instead go ahead and give it a
shot
one too a lot of times because we have
access to the Internet or this
information that I think it’s at our
fingertips we personally think that we
have we have a overconfidence in what we
know what we don’t know that’s something
that can be exploited you want me to
show you how it works there’s actually a
trick and something very small a lot of
times people make it they’re
overconfident and I think that what they
did is a little bit different here’s
what I was doing if the middle cup tells
you that they’re all going to be face-up
so when I turn them over as one two
three but when I handed it to you I turn
the middle one facedown so there’s no
way you could do it so I cheated a
little bit
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