hi and welcome to watchmojo.com i’m your
host laila airplanes rely on portable
fuels and the authors have transport
revolutions moving people and freight
without oil Anthony pearl and Richard
Gilbert explain how the future of travel
could look with the decline of aviation
can you please tell us how do the
insights into the nature and dynamics of
profound change in transportation assist
us going forward well there’s probably
going to be more change in
transportation in the coming 10 years
than there’s been in the last 40 years
let me just give you one very small
example crossing the Atlantic in the 50s
at the beginning the fifties almost
everybody crossed by boat at the end of
the fifties almost everybody was
crossing by air now you say well that’s
what happened but that’s what that was a
really big change and we see changes of
that kind happening ahead what kind of
threats are we facing in aviation it’s
just going to be a lot more expensive to
fly from place to place and places where
there’s alternatives to flying or could
be alternatives to flying is where we’re
going to need to develop trains or
lighter than air ships or other
substitutes so that there’s still fuel
and capacity available for the places
where long-distance flights are still
essential we’ll see a dramatic reduction
in the number of airports we’ll see
planes getting much larger because they
are fuel-efficient when they’re large as
long as they’re fully occupied we’ll see
short distances no longer travel by
plane also long distances very long
distances if you can avoid them they
won’t be travelled by plane either
because it’s the short distances and the
long distances that use all the fuel
this means that coastal cities are going
to be the places where a significant
aviation still happens because that’s
where the end of the the land-based
connections will be we found a phrase in
our research which we didn’t originate
at the term travelport we’re going to
need to see airport infrastructure
transformed into travel ports so these
are about connecting people from surface
to air when necessary as opposed to
connecting people from short haul air
too long haul
that model of hub-and-spoke air travel
is going to be one of the big change
items in this transport revolution
another thing is going to happen while
we’re talking about moving over long
distances is going to be a reversal of
what I started talking about which was
the decline in travel by sea people
don’t like traveling by sea in part
because it takes so long but with Martin
communications you can have a very
productive time when you’re doing a
six-day journey across the Atlantic in
fact with full web and email and
everything it may be exactly what you
need to produce those last three reports
that you’ve been trying to write we’ll
see moresee travel because it’s more
energy efficient boats can be moved by
wind front of our book shows not a
passenger boat better another kind of
code being pulled along by a towing kite
and that can reduce fuel use on a boat
which is already low in reduced fuel use
by thirty to fifty percent
host laila airplanes rely on portable
fuels and the authors have transport
revolutions moving people and freight
without oil Anthony pearl and Richard
Gilbert explain how the future of travel
could look with the decline of aviation
can you please tell us how do the
insights into the nature and dynamics of
profound change in transportation assist
us going forward well there’s probably
going to be more change in
transportation in the coming 10 years
than there’s been in the last 40 years
let me just give you one very small
example crossing the Atlantic in the 50s
at the beginning the fifties almost
everybody crossed by boat at the end of
the fifties almost everybody was
crossing by air now you say well that’s
what happened but that’s what that was a
really big change and we see changes of
that kind happening ahead what kind of
threats are we facing in aviation it’s
just going to be a lot more expensive to
fly from place to place and places where
there’s alternatives to flying or could
be alternatives to flying is where we’re
going to need to develop trains or
lighter than air ships or other
substitutes so that there’s still fuel
and capacity available for the places
where long-distance flights are still
essential we’ll see a dramatic reduction
in the number of airports we’ll see
planes getting much larger because they
are fuel-efficient when they’re large as
long as they’re fully occupied we’ll see
short distances no longer travel by
plane also long distances very long
distances if you can avoid them they
won’t be travelled by plane either
because it’s the short distances and the
long distances that use all the fuel
this means that coastal cities are going
to be the places where a significant
aviation still happens because that’s
where the end of the the land-based
connections will be we found a phrase in
our research which we didn’t originate
at the term travelport we’re going to
need to see airport infrastructure
transformed into travel ports so these
are about connecting people from surface
to air when necessary as opposed to
connecting people from short haul air
too long haul
that model of hub-and-spoke air travel
is going to be one of the big change
items in this transport revolution
another thing is going to happen while
we’re talking about moving over long
distances is going to be a reversal of
what I started talking about which was
the decline in travel by sea people
don’t like traveling by sea in part
because it takes so long but with Martin
communications you can have a very
productive time when you’re doing a
six-day journey across the Atlantic in
fact with full web and email and
everything it may be exactly what you
need to produce those last three reports
that you’ve been trying to write we’ll
see moresee travel because it’s more
energy efficient boats can be moved by
wind front of our book shows not a
passenger boat better another kind of
code being pulled along by a towing kite
and that can reduce fuel use on a boat
which is already low in reduced fuel use
by thirty to fifty percent
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