
seen that one slide I mean physically
and literally different light has
entered your eyeballs pass through
neural networks in the middle of your
brain on to visual circuits of the back
of your brain and then back up to the
front of your brain where for the first
time it’s perceived as conscious thought
there it interacts with other neural
networks of memories emotion and
executive function all along the way the
neurons in these pathways that have been
activated because that one slide builds
slightly stronger and better connections
to each other because that one slide so
what happens to your brain with the 11
hours a day you generally spend with
technology if you’re the average
American you watch 5 hours a day of TV
you check your phone 200 times a day you
get lots of flash bulbs your car parks
itself your phone checks it counts your
steps you use your computer to work and
to connect with friends the devices
around you are increasingly connecting
you and your brain to the rest of the
world what is that doing to your brain
why do I care about this isn’t it
pointed out I like many of you been
responsible for creating a lot of this
technology first the internet then the
smartphone then the Internet of Things
and even today I’m hard at work on the
technologies that should shape the next
ten years and along the way I’ve had a
chance to work with a lot of really
amazing technology experts that most of
the big companies you’re aware of but I
found myself wondering recently when
every public space I go to features flat
screens at the wall on the wall and
people and trance by them and every stop
sign I come to people checking their
phones I ask these basic questions what
makes us want to engage with technology
the way that we do pretty basic question
right i also have daughters so a typical
situation you know is i’m trying to
figure out how to raise daughters in an
ever-changing technology world I’ll walk
in and see them doing their homework
great
but the TV is on the laptops are up in
there playing Minecraft and their
smartphones are next to them receiving
continual messages from their friends we
all know what to do right we’re good
parents turn the TV off go downstairs do
your homework and go outside and play
that’s what our parents told us we know
that that works but what if the world
they’re going to grow up in is different
than the world that we grow up in what
if the skills that they’re going to need
are different than the skills that we’re
going to need what’s the future that I’m
pushing them out into and what do I need
to be explaining to them so that’s what
I set out to do a three year journey of
reading hundreds of books to try and
understand not only where we’re at now
but where we’re trying to go I really
wanted to read the book that gave me the
answer but I couldn’t find it and the
reason why was because I started to find
that the questions I I was interested in
led to other questions I don’t know if
you’ve ever worked on a project like
this a good example is if you read about
books about texting while driving or
what the internet is doing to your brain
you’ll find experts that talk about
top-down and bottom-up attentional
networks the primacy of v1 and v2 visual
circuits in your brain dopamine
everybody wants to talk about dopamine
but then all of those authors will
pretty soon make a statement something
like and your brain is hardwired to XYZ
or you evolved to respond to a certain
stimuli in a certain way so I got
curious and I wanted to figure out where
that literature was so now we go from
modern psychology back to our paleo
ancestors fields called evolutionary
biology evolutionary psychology
completely different discipline
different different evidence different
theoretical models but when you read
through that eventually if you find that
those authors to make basic statements
to we inherited some of these skills
from our ancestors prior to these guys
like the great apes tool use cultural
intelligence the ability to work in
small groups and if you go back even
further you find that the primatologists
that i’ve spoken to all around the world
resort to basic animal behaviors the
fact that we grew up in predatory
environments in fact I’ll challenge you
to think about the trending technology
whether it’s Netflix trending now social
media or Facebook
if you look at what’s trending now it’s
not that much different than what I find
and drives animal behavior the 4 f’s we
know what those are feeding fighting
fleeing and fornicating right okay so I
went back to the past and I went back
through this literature what I’m going
to do is try and share with you in the
next few minutes a few of the insights
that I got out of a three-year journey
shaving you having to read all those
thousands of scholarly articles and my
boring 500 page book on the topic I hope
that you’ll find that there are some
insights from the past that are going to
inform the future but the first one is
that the idea of evolution is not a
simple one we do not think the way we do
because of some single factor this is
not opposable thumbs or as Nick likes to
say fire this is a complicated picture
we had writing which definitely changed
our brains we had the advent of
agriculture which changed evolution that
was only 40,000 years ago symbolic art
the ability to represent visual images
and transfer that to the world around us
as only 70,000 years ago large brains
large brains only co-evolved after we
had food that we could cook that
provided the calories for large brains
what we have is a steady progress of
evolutionary steps if you take any one
of those out of the puzzle we don’t end
up thinking like we do today that’s not
the inside I want to share with you I
went through this exhaustively and I
found 50 different factors and if you
took one of them out we wouldn’t think
the way we do today here’s what’s scary
and unless you go through modern
psychology evolutionary psychology
primatology and animal behavior I’d
argue you don’t see that everything has
changed in the last 100 years give you a
simple example with the Apple here in
the last 100 years most of the hundred
years ago the food that you ate crew
within 100 miles of you now I can go
into wegmans and i can buy stuff flown
in the day before from all over the
world this is a huge change if you
change the food available to a species
thousand years ago a million years ago
anywhere in the planet you can predict
changes in behavior and social structure
new
in and body adaptations this change is
huge it’s just one of dozens we used to
walk 100 years ago the primary mode is
walking a little bit of horseback riding
occasional car or train now I don’t know
if you can see the Segway pushing the
scooter but it was the best way I could
find to kind of imply that most the time
we drive now walking is so rare that we
count our steps right this is a big
change for the entire scope of the arc
of human evolution our tools were
physical we could debate about books as
a theoretical or symbolic but now no one
will debate that in the last 10 years
most of our tools are digital this has
huge implications it’s not about how we
move our body anymore it’s how we move
our eyes what we draw our attention to
and the adaptations that haven’t a
neurological level are different when
it’s all in our head and it’s all on a
screen versus physical for the entire
scope of human history we’ve lived in
small populations 150 or less to put
that in perspective up until two hundred
years ago most people lived in rural
settings but in the last 200 years we
went from five percent of people living
in cities to over seventy percent here
in America that’s a huge change in terms
of social structures and the
implications for that and then just last
one of these physical you know men have
grown three inches 30 pounds and have
gained 30 30 years of average life
expectancy in just the last few years
these are just five examples from dozens
of things that we’ve changed all at once
so what I want to know is the world that
my daughters are going to grow up and
going to be a little bit different than
the one that I grew up in I step back
and I go holy it’s going to be very
bipedalism the ability to walk on two
feet major change because it unlocked
the ability to use our hands as tools
that’s what most people will point to
it’s a simple story but what most people
don’t look at is the fact that
bipedalism arose during a peer to
climate change the earth had been
relatively stable for three or four
million years but then it began to
oscillate and it was at that point that
our early ancestors began to walk and
they were able to leave
behind hunting and gathering areas that
our quadrupedal four-legged ancestors
were in and find out new sources of food
and resources and mates but and this is
a greatly simplified graph the earth
started to gradually cool and went
through periods of climate change not
related to man that co-evolved at the
same time that we developed cooperative
hunting cooperative hunting seems like a
really simple thing but we’re one of the
few species on earth that does it this a
lot of things that have to go on in the
brain and the social structure to
support that then the earth started to
warm up again again this is a very
simplified model but in 5,000 years the
earth warmed by five degrees it was
during this period that the oceans rose
humans moved from our rich hunting
grounds near the coast up into the hills
they discovered a few grains and thus
became agriculture and civilizations
never been the same all because of
climate change 5,000 years five degrees
but between 1900 and 2100 the buttons
the earth is going to rise in
temperature 5 degrees this isn’t a
prediction on I’m not judging
anthropogenic climate change I’m saying
this is factual if you read back through
the actual temperature in 1900 now and
extrapolate that according to current
scientific trends 5 degrees so is the
world that my children are going to grow
up in wit end you with your greatly
extended lifespans are going to live in
going to be dramatically different than
the world from the past I think it will
be so we’ve talked enough about the past
let me tell you a little bit about the
emergent brain it’s the title the
writing project that I’m working on but
it’s also the model the emergent brain
is this three-part model the brain of
course and the body that houses the
brain that’s great it keeps it safe it
moves it around it feeds it it nourishes
it and that’s important because the
brain is an expensive tissue for the
body to support it takes twenty percent
of the energy that the body produces to
take care of the brain whether you’re
awake or asleep but I’ve Co adopted or
co-opted a term from a guy by the name
of Ben hustad called XO cortex to refer
to all the information around us to
which we are now outsourcing our brain
I used to laugh when I heard that most
people under 30 don’t know the phone
number to their significant other but
then I went and got cell phones for my
daughters and I don’t know their phone
number okay so we are taking basic
thought process in memories and storing
them in the cloud we don’t need to know
them anymore Siri how many cups in a
gallon when I practiced this speech the
other day Siri answer to me from the
other room 16 and I had to think and I
realized she was right so we don’t have
to park our car anymore some of us and
not just our kids but maybe even some of
us aren’t going to have to worry about
how to drive anymore we’re not we don’t
have to and that’s good this three-part
model means there’s less pull on the
brain as we’ve outsourced to technology
around us and since the brain is it
expensive tissue to support this is a
good thing we perform better with less
anybody read that what will you do with
your brain when everything it used to do
that’s the question I’m working on so
you’ve probably all seen a lone musk has
announced significant investment neural
link about directly connecting
artificial intelligence to the brain i
mean directly and physically so we’ve
talked about the past now i’m talking
about the present not the future he’s
going to create siri checked right into
your brain this isn’t science fiction
this is real this is current news so i
had a chance to talk to one of his peers
a founder of a major technology company
he has also gone on to found two of the
leading institutes for the studies of
future in artificial intelligence and I
said hey Mike crazy here mean to me this
looks like not just extrapolating
technology life’s going to get busier
and more hectic but if I go back through
this past literature life is gonna be
fundamentally different and I said I
don’t think anybody’s working on this
because Pat you’re absolutely right
there’s no question gonna be
dramatically different he says I know
everybody in the fields no one’s working
on it he goes but that’s a short-term
problem
artificial intelligence is going to be
such game-changer than what you’re
talking about pales in comparison so I
get off the phone I’m thinking about
this ninety-nine point nine percent of
us aren’t thinking about the future we
are we know it’s gonna be a little bit
busier likes a little bit hectic time to
go get the kids in soccer but those few
people that are are thinking 30 years
out how do we get between here and there
what I’m asking you to do is consider
for a minute that my premise that things
are going to be very different is true
and their premise that the world is so
different that the state of humanity is
a short-term problem how do you navigate
between the two of these so a couple
months ago I held a seminar going over
these same issues because frankly I’m
starting to think I’m a little crazy so
are others so I bring neuro scientists
medical doctors top technologists
national defense experts moms dads a
broad spectrum of group of people and I
present this research and a lot deeper
depth and I’m here I asked them the same
questions am I crazy do you believe this
evidence indicates that things may be
dramatically different and if it is
who’s working on this or should we even
be working on it and they also the same
thing as the artificial intelligence guy
this is a real problem it’s a huge
problem but no one’s working on it an
interesting layout of that conversation
now a single person in the room felt
qualified to address the question the
guy with an MD a PhD in psychiatry who
is this chief technology officer of a
technology company says he’s not
qualified to address the question
there’s an optimistic end of this story
though we found that with all of our
different backgrounds we could begin to
compare notes using different thought
process methodologies and evidence and
the problem was tractable solvable that
if enough of us got together we could
sort of figure this out from that we got
the idea to start an organization that
you’ll hopefully hear about here soon
the emergent brain consortium
global consortium of experts from
multiple difference and they don’t have
to be experts these are people who care
some ones that go you’re creating an
elitist organization no we’re crowd
sourcing the answers to the future of
humanity we’re not saying technology is
bad I might be a little bit of a let it
but that’s just cuz I’m an idiot about
using basic technologies but I like
technology I think technology can be
used to make things better so we did not
need technology to navigate the
agricultural revolution we didn’t need
it for the industrial revolution why do
we need a global consortium of experts
or people crowdsourcing the future of
this information age that’s because
first of all the change is going to be
much faster and much bigger than those
previous 2 and we have the tools so this
consortium will work to create internet
collaboration tools much like other
other organizations that are out there
but also in person this is about human
intelligence not just technology
bringing people together in seminars
around the world collaborating what are
the answers that we come up with I’m not
sure but I do know this is an important
problem and we’re going to begin to chip
away at it using technology using people
to address the problem so we’ve gone on
a little adventure now I started out by
changing your slot your brain with a
single slide now I’ve changed maybe a
little bit more with about another 18 to
what end right I’ve just given you a
huge complicated problem that faces the
future of mankind how is it relevant to
you guys well I think we can bite we can
eat this elephant one bite at a time the
first thing is each of us individually
now I hope you’ll pause some time and
think about the technology that you
consume and adopt this is not about
screen time everybody wants to me to
reduce this down to screen time and
dopamine you download an app to your
phone it eliminates the need to remember
what kind of groceries you need great
you don’t have to worry about that all
day long what do you do with the mental
resources freed up with that do you use
those mental resources that 30 seconds
of thinking five minutes of remember of
memory to make your life happier more
productive healthier would you cram more
stuff in there that does just the
opposite if your job
has been eliminated by an algorithm that
can do your job better than you can you
can go home and whine about it watch the
Kardashians complaint on social media
didn’t know this was an interactive
audience but you could also go and apply
your brain to things that computers
can’t do now or in the future the
problem is is the roadmaps missing you
know what foods to eat but how do I
raise my kids how do I use my extra
brain cycles that technology has given
me what do i do if my job’s getting
outsourced what should I trained myself
for that’s missing and that’s what I
hope the organizations like the emergent
brain construction will begin to chip
away at but the second part of what I
this is the first part you literally
create your own experience about what
you pay attention to what technologies
you consume and focus on but
collectively there’s people here in the
room that make technology there’s people
here in the room that run or take part
in organizations that use technology
there’s people here in the room that are
part of families sitting down at the
boardroom sitting down at the dining
table beginning to ask these questions
to take the responsibility to kind of
start to dictate what the future might
hold that’s the second thing I wanted to
impart on you guys today that’s a unique
opportunity the two things we haven’t
talked about about human cognition is
two traits that humans have in spades
one the ability to anticipate and the
ability to adapt if you guys have heard
this and I’ve changed your brain a
little bit you begin to ask these
questions maybe you two will start to
find opportunities to anticipate what
the future is going to have and adapt
how we use technology harness technology
but also harness the humanity to leave
this place better for us and for our
kids [Applause]