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Running, luck and the ovarian lottery | Mark Sutcliffe | TEDxKanata


since I started running my big dream was

to run the Boston Marathon and failing

over and over again to qualify for

Boston is what taught me how incredibly

lucky I am the Boston Marathon is the

oldest and most revered marathon in the

world it’s also one of the hardest to

get into in order to qualify for Boston

you have to run another marathon in a

really fast time tens of thousands of

people try to do it every year I failed

to qualify for Boston in my first 19

marathons sometimes missing my time by

as little as thirty Seconds when I

finally qualified in my twentieth

marathon I made it by the slimmest of

margins only 22 seconds that’s half a

second for every kilometer that I ran

that day now as somebody who had always

been the smallest kid in my class and

had been picked last for every sports

team it felt like a huge accomplishment

and I worked really hard to achieve that

goal running Boston was a dream come

true

I’m actually pretty emotional in this

finish line photo after the race but the

greatest benefit of the whole experience

for me was all those times that I came

up short that’s what made me think about

how luck has shaped my life now there’s

a saying in running that if you want to

go fast the very first thing that you

have to do is choose the right parents

genetics play a big part in it

as they do in so many things in life so

I happen to be lucky enough that I was

just fast enough to qualify on in on a

good day in in a marathon I could just

make it over the the under the time that

I need it but you have to be lucky

enough to be running a marathon in the

first place

amateur long-distance running is very

much a first world phenomenon you have

to be born in a certain time and place

to train for a marathon 99% of the

people who have ever lived are so

exhausted by life they would never think

of going to the gym or going for a run

to burn off extra calories there weren’t

people signing up for marathons by the

tens of thousands during the Great

Depression running has taught me that

the single greatest factor in my life

has not been hard work it has been luck

and most of that good fortune was given

to me before I was even born this is a

picture from 1927 in fact it’s from 91

years ago this month this is a couple

getting married in Paris it’s an

incredible love story between a Chinese

man and a French woman I don’t have to

tell you how unlikely it is for these

two people to be marrying each other in

Paris or any other place in the world at

that time what makes the story even more

unlikely is the fact that the man in

this picture was born on an island off

the coast of Africa in 1902 the fact

that he’s even in Paris arises out of

the fact that his parents made the

unusual decision to have him baptized as

a Catholic and sent him to French

schools even though they were neither

French nor Catholic they didn’t do that

for any of their other eight kids just

him after they got married this couple

moved to China and the woman in the

picture said we were young we were in

love

and we thought it would be a great

adventure and it was a great adventure

but it lasted a lot longer than they

expected they thought they might go

there for about five years they ended up

staying for twenty because of the Second

World War and the Communist revolution

when they left they took only the

suitcases in their hands left everything

else behind and they moved to Canada and

I’m really lucky that they did because

these are my grandparents so as you can

see it’s incredibly lucky that I was

even born in the first place

my grandfather had to move from Africa

to France meet my grandmother get

married moved to China then they moved

to Canada with my mother where she met

my father who was also an immigrant to

this country now have you ever asked

yourself if you could live life over

again would you do it would you go

through all of this again I have to tell

you I would have to think long and hard

about going through my high school years

again remember I was the shortest kid in

my class so when we asked ourselves that

question and consider the answer we tend

to assume that we get to live the same

life over again or something very

similar maybe a few circumstances we’d

be different but by and large it would

be kind of what we have today when the

odds against that are actually quite

high just the chances of being born in

Canada as I was are about one in 400 so

think about that for a second there are

about 400 people in this room tonight if

all of us were to be born again tomorrow

only one of us and I think it’s I think

it’s that guy right over there would be

born in Canada what if I’d been born in

China or in Africa like my ancestors or

like so many millions of other people

what if some of the other circumstances

of my birth had been different I have a

mixed ethnic background but I was born

with a white appearance and a Brit

last name what if that hadn’t been the

case what if I had a Chinese last name

what if I had a Chinese appearance then

chances are I probably wouldn’t have

ended up being a talk-show host

or an entrepreneur it’s not impossible

but at the time I was born it would have

made it very unlikely luck is much more

than hard work what has made a big

difference in my life it’s really what

has put me over the top in both my

Boston qualifying marathon and in life

this is something that warren buffett

calls the ovarian lottery i won the

lottery

the day that I was born I didn’t get

handed a check for a million dollars but

I was given an opportunity that was

worth at least that much now in a

marathon everybody starts at the same

time when the gun goes off we all have

an equal chance of running a good race

and getting to the finish line

in fact in big races like this one or

the Boston Marathon they give you a

little chip that you can put on your

shoe so that if you do start way back

from the start line because there are so

many people in front of you they don’t

start counting your time until you

actually cross the start line that way

it’s fair for everybody but life isn’t

like that if you don’t start at the path

at the front of the pack you don’t get a

computer chip that levels the playing

field there are so many ways that luck

creates advantages and disadvantages

from the day we are born if you aren’t

born in Canada or another Western

country then you start farther back if

you’re a visible minority you start

farther back if your parents are poor

you start farther back if you have a

physical disability or you develop a

mental illness then you start farther

back and in so many places in the world

if you’re a girl you start

they’re back and again there’s no

computer chip that evens everything out

you carry that disadvantage for your

entire life even right here in Canada

there are so many ways that you can be

born into advantage or disadvantage

right here in Ottawa one in four

children start grade one without the

basic tools that they need to be

successful only 43 percent of people

with disabilities participate in the

workforce more than half of the

indigenous children in our community

live in poverty and women as you know

typically make 26 percent less than men

now there are dozens and dozens of data

points that I could share with you that

would show that the odds of doing well

aren’t the same for everyone

now when the winner of the race comes

from the front of the pack that person

can say I trained hard I worked hard for

this

I ran well and that would be true but

that person would have a huge advantage

over somebody starting at the back of

the pack in everyday life that advantage

often plays a much greater role than we

think it does and we pay very little

attention to it now every once in a

while

the winner will come from the back of

the pack somebody in the back of the

pack will have an amazing race against

all odds we love those stories they

inspire us but in a way they also

mislead us into thinking that that means

the race is fair when it’s not those are

the exceptions not the rule the fact is

thousands and thousands of people who

start life at the back of the pack never

even have a chance

we put way too much emphasis on hard

work and we fail to recognize the role

of the ovarian Lottery that put so many

people including me at the front of the

pack in life in so many ways you can’t

win unless you start with a lot of luck

now two years ago in northern Alberta

the wildfires struck and Canadians rose

to the occasion donating millions of

dollars to the relief effort we are very

good at recognizing the role that

fortune plays in these circumstances we

can relate to these circumstances and so

we respond it’s the same whenever some

other crisis arises on social media or

in our personal lives somebody is the

victim of a natural disaster someone

loses their job or is diagnosed with

cancer or another devastating illness we

respond in those occasions because we

can relate to it and we’re very good at

that and that’s great but we aren’t

necessarily so good at responding to the

persistent problems in our society that

keeps so many people at the back of the

pack you know I work in the news

business it’s very easy to get people’s

attention over a sudden and immediate

crisis it’s a lot harder to mobilize

them over persistent problems in society

things like poverty racism and

inequality we all live in bubbles it’s

very easy to fall into the trap of

firstworldproblems let me give you just

one example of that three weeks ago I

was preparing for this talk and I was

really struggling with what I was going

to say I was putting a lot of time into

the speech that I was going to give

today don’t tell my bosses this but I

probably spend more time on this

15-minute talk than I do on a month’s

worth of talk shows okay and I actually

wrote an email to my wife my wonderful

patient wife who has indulged my

marathon running and has heard me

deliver this speech about ten times now

and in that email I wrote that this TEDx

experience was sucking the life out of

me

so I was complaining about having to

give a TEDx talk about how lucky I am so

why is it so important that we redesign

our thinking and recognize the role of

luck in our lives first of all it

changes our perspective when you see the

world through the lens of Merit

it makes us possessive and protective if

I earned it I should get to keep it it

makes us think in terms of scarcity

rather than abundance

it makes us talk about building walls to

keep other people out when you see the

world in terms of luck through the lens

of luck

it makes us humble kind generous it

makes us want to share our good fortune

to spread it around it makes us think

about opening doors to other people the

other reason is that it’s long overdue

with all the ingenuity with all the

genius the intelligence we have in our

time the innovation it still strikes me

as amazing that we have not fixed the

imbalances and inequities in our world

that arise almost entirely out of where

you were born who your parents are the

color of your skin and your gender why

for example in a community like Ottawa

I’ve never been able to figure this out

why do we still need in a city as

prosperous as ours food banks and

homeless shelters think about it this

way with all the ingenuity we have in

our time we have the power to change so

many things in the next 20 or 30 years

what would you rather see by the year

2050 a human being walking on the planet

Mars or solutions to some of the chronic

problems right here on earth that cause

so many people to live their entire

lives at a disadvantage there are three

reasons that I think we should all

consider helping people who

are less fortunate than us the first

reason is that it’s simply fair it’s the

right thing to do

the second is that it’s smart there’s an

extraordinary cost to everyone not

having an equal opportunity it’s a cost

that our entire society bears it’s a

practical cost and an opportunity cost

this is not a zero-sum game we don’t

lose if other people have a better

chance of winning in fact we all win

think about what could happen in the

next 20 or 30 years if everybody could

contribute to their full potential the

third reason is I think it will make you

happy my life is already so amazing

I could only incrementally improve it

from this point forward all my dreams

have come true I got to run the Boston

Marathon I’m actually doing it again

next month but I have the capacity to

change someone else’s life what would

bring you more joy and satisfaction

marginally improving your own life at

the front of the pack or reaching back

and helping to eliminate some of those

disadvantages that keep someone else at

the back what if we could redesign our

world to eliminate the role of luck in

so many people’s lives you could mentor

somebody you could give them

opportunities you could strive to

overcome the systemic and unconscious

bias that holds so many people back you

could think about investing your

philanthropic dollars in solutions to

long-term chronic problems that help the

persistently unlucky in addition to

responding to the immediate crises that

arise from time to time on May 27th the

largest marathon in Canada is going to

happen right here in Ottawa at Ottawa

race weekend about 5,000 runners will

participate

and I intend to be one of them but this

time I’m not going to start at the front

of the pack I’m gonna wait until three

hours after the gun goes off and I’m

gonna run my marathon no amount of hard

work or training will produce a fast

time for me in this marathon I’m not

going to qualify for Boston this time

around now think about what it’s like

when you run a marathon thousands of

people are cheering you on along the

course people are holding up signs some

very clever ones sometimes encouraging

you there are volunteers giving you

water helping you along the way that’s

what life is like at the front of the

pack now think about what it’s gonna be

like when I run my marathon parts of the

route are probably already gonna be

closed I’m gonna be dodging cars and

other traffic the water stations will

probably be closed most of the

spectators will have gone home when you

start life at the back of the pack you

get a lot less help and support often

you run alone my goal is to draw

attention to the fact that so many

people begin life at a disadvantage

compared to the rest of us I’m hoping

that my marathon and this talk will

inspire other people maybe even you to

imagine a world where luck is irrelevant

and all the children in the future can

start life with the same opportunity

thank you

[Applause] [Music]

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