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Managing turbulence | Ken Sterling | TEDxUCSB


we’re defying gravity in a silver metal

tube seven miles above the surface of

the earth heading home at last in a

funny kind of way the hum of the jet

engines in the dimly lit cabin are

strangely soothing there’s some faint

light from a few laptops most of the

passengers are sleeping except for the

lady next to me she’s got those red

Beats headphones Bob in her head damn I

keep meaning to order a pair of those I

take a picture beautiful sky moon hey I

got Wi-Fi up here I can show up on

Facebook and Twitter hashtag 38k feet

hashtag living the dream hashtag Yolo

now this plane starts diving metal

coffee cans and coffee jugs are banging

up on the front of plane means the milk

cart goes whizzing down the aisle I’m

thinking to myself did I see the pilots

in the bar drinking before we got on the

plane I’m gonna be sick where’s the

little white bag I’m just gonna puke on

my shirt my mom bought me this shirt I

should call my mom I should call the

kids my iPhone doesn’t work oh my god

this is Yolo close my eyes put my head

back brace myself and then we level off

don’t panic folks just hit some major

turbulence it’s gonna be a bumpy ride

fasten your seat belts

I look over at the lady next to me she’s

shaking I’m shaking we’re all shaking

are you ok I think I’m gonna be sick

and I know what you’re thinking I’m not

a wimp

I fly a lot of miles this was the worst

turbulence I’ve ever experienced

we all thought we were gonna die so a

week later don’t ask me why but I’m back

on the same flight I had to get home all

the other flights were sold out I board

the plane and I see Andy he was the

friendly flight attendant last week who

came over and smuggled me some of those

little minibar bottles of vodka hey Andy

same pilots as last week he smiles and

shakes his head I feel a little better

but I’m still anxious I take my seat we

take off we’re up in the air we’re about

an hour and a half into the flight and

so far so good no one planned nosedives

lookout not a full moon anymore but a

pretty good-looking moon skies pretty

blue and then it happens ladies and

gentlemen good evening

this is captain Thompson up in the

cockpit folks just wanted to let you

know that we’re coming up on an area

known for rough patches of turbulence

it’s gonna get a little bumpy folks but

we’ve got this under control

so please stay in your seats fasten your

seat belts we’re gonna slightly alter

course and everything’s going to be just

we actually did hit some turbulence and

it was pretty bumpy but it was nothing

like the week before we had the notice

we felt better it wasn’t as choppy I get

off the plane walking through the

terminal I see the little mini Starbucks

over there hey there’s captain Thompson

I can’t help myself I walk over that was

amazing you did such a good job tonight

thank you so much on behalf of myself

the other passengers I kind of felt like

what was so different because I was on

the same flight a week ago and it was

awful he just kind of tilted his head

and he smiled and you said I guess

that’s what a few tours of duty will do

for you in combat when you’re up in the

air you’ve got to own every second he

we said our goodbyes

I’m leaving the airport and walking out

I’m trying to thinking to myself of

turbulence in general and how it hits us

at different parts of our lives

and for the longest time I thought

leaders were good at avoiding turbulence

but what I started to think then is that

good leaders own the turbulence Capps

and Thompson didn’t avoid it he owned it

so I finally get home and I’m kind of

excited about this new thought process

and I’m a researcher and I want to start

researching things so I go on Google and

I look up turbulence happens often very

rarely does it result in harm to people

especially if they’re wearing their

seatbelts so a little PSA to wear your

seatbelts and in the last 30 years only

two major accidents attributable to

turbulence and most likely could have

been avoided had the pilots managed the

turbulence in the situation differently

so I write down managing turbulence now

start thinking how this applies in our

daily lives

turbulence conflict crisis volatility

we’re all gonna hit it at home on our

campus in our workplace and left

unchecked we will crash so we’ve been

studying for a while out in the

workplace how the best leaders are

managing turbulence and our current

research brings together a robust data

set on how top performing CEOs are

handling turbulence in crisis at their

companies and we’re finding three

overlapping practices they anticipate

they communicate and they quickly

execute anticipate leaders don’t always

know turbulence is coming take the

financial meltdown of 2009 456 banks

worldwide closed down thousands of

businesses closed down disastrous

consequences 500,000 families and the

United States alone lost their homes

five million had to move over a

five-year period but some CEOs did

anticipate the crash they thought to

themselves hmm my home appraisal just

came in and that’s double what it was

last year real estate prices across the

country are skyrocketing the stock

markets through the roof I keep reading

about these adjustable rate mortgages

and I don’t know how people are gonna be

able to afford the increased payments in

a couple years and just this morning my

gardeners gossiping with me about how

the doctor down the street

flipped four houses last month

something’s not right here

and those CEOs made the calls they spoke

to the experts Kathy what’s your take on

these derivative swaps Bob what do we

know about subprime mortgages how can

those hurt the

communities that we serve or take

Hurricane Katrina anticipate leadership

was on autopilot they got the call days

before Katrina hit hey we got a stage

five right off the coast we better act

they waited too long and as a result

eighteen hundred and thirty six people

died thousands of people lost their home

and over a hundred and eight billion

dollars of damage what happens when we

can’t anticipate we all remember the

morning of September 11th when those

planes hit the towers and the Pentagon

and unlike Katrina there’s no way

that leaders or us could anticipate

exactly what was going to happen but in

a way we were a little prepared and

there had been some anticipation there

had been safety drills in simulations

and procedures in place for major

catastrophes to happen and that helps

save the lives of thousands and hundreds

of thousands of people and helped

restore semblance of order much quicker

than usual the second practice that

we’re finding our top performing ceos is

communicate not just within their teams

to gather data and not just to spin

things but more importantly to

communicate with everyone involved to

reassure them we’re on top of this it’s

not as bad as we thought we have a new

and through our research we’ve learned a

don’t panic so you hate it when people

say don’t panic in all the panicle

situations in the world yes I just made

panic abullah and all the panic Abul

situations in the world saying don’t

panic

never has helped it’s kind of up there

on the list of top things not to say to

your spouse right below calm down the

best leaders never say don’t panic not

like the first pilot you remember the

first words out of his mouth don’t panic

the third piece that we’re finding is

that CEOs are executing and that’s how

they’re really owning the crisis first

they anticipate then they communicate

and then they execute they’re relying on

their teams to gather data they’re

running fast analysis and then they’re

swiftly executing they’re not thinking

houses can impact our share price or

worse how can we spin this one of my

most significant experiences with

execution is when I was working at a

dot-com company so it’s December 22nd

2000 and I’m at one of those fancy comms

spending millions of dollars on fancy

offices $2,500 office chairs ping-pong

foosball kind of sounds like what’s

going on now with a bubble we’ll talk

about that later

so I’m sitting in my office full window

I’ve got a view of the boardwalk the

sand and the ocean there’s some roller

skaters going by palm tree the phone

rings I’m in a great mood hello

the venture capitalists pulled all our

funding we had to quickly put a plan

together and execute within the next

couple days to save our company and in

this case that meant letting 35 people

go just a few days before Christmas

somebody said hey let’s just have Jen

and HR do it I shook my head I said no

we own this we’re accountable we’re

responsible we need to be in that room

with them so we hold ourselves up in

conference room a that afternoon and

that was a brutal time a lot of those

people that we let go of my close

friends people who’d put money into the

company that I’d known for 15 or 20

years and I’ll never forget about

halfway through there was a woman single

mom of three and as we’re in her exit

interview she says hey can we hurry this

up I need to get to Toys R Us and inside

I’m thinking wow how can she be thinking

about Toys R Us at a moment like this

and then she finishes her sentence I’ve

got to go return most of the toys

because we’re gonna need that money for

other things as she was walking out of

the conference room she turned around

she looked at us and she said I know you

didn’t have to be here today and I

appreciate that you were thank you I

still felt like a jerk and I can’t take

credit for being there that day or for

the rest of the team who joined me I was

thinking about somebody else who managed

crisis

Martin Luther King jr. when he said the

true measure of a man is not where he

stands in times of comfort and

convenience but rather where he stands

in times of challenge and controversy

and I didn’t know it at the time but

thanks to MLK

we were owning that crisis and we were

there for those people and here’s an

interesting twist about two years later

the woman who needed to get to Toys R Us

called me she had joined a new company

they had an executive position and she

commended me for that position kind of a

silver lining to a terrible volatile

situation

so we’re all gonna hit bumps we don’t

know when it’s coming or what it’s going

to be and hopefully none of you will

ever have to face a major catastrophe

when it does use the framework that we

have inspired by captain Thompson black

ace anticipate communicate and execute

because remember it’s how we own and

manage turbulence that determines the

outcome for everyone thank you [Applause]

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