the subject of my talk tonight is about
something that is smarter than you are
artificial intelligence in fact a lot of
people who work in artificial
intelligence believe that artificial
intelligence and times smarter than we
are it will be moving at speeds that are
a hundred thousand times as fast as we
think and it will be digesting
information and data a million times
more than we can what is artificial
intelligence there are a lot of confused
ideas about this outside in the world
but the answer is very simple it’s one
sentence artificial intelligence is
software that writes itself it writes
its own updates it renews itself we
normally tend to think of software is
stuff that we created and the we wrote
and the machines do what we tell them to
do and we own it this is not any longer
truth it writes itself at speeds that we
can hardly comprehend and people who
write it know that you can’t take it
apart again and figure out what it’s
done it writes independently
autonomously it develops its own way of
thinking and there are dangers
associated with that so a lot of people
ask when is it going to happen when is
artificial intelligence going to be
smarter than those people some people
say 50 years some day 30 years some say
five years I say it already has
surpassed us in many areas of our
society the stick for example some
examples from right here and now and I
say parent have to point this goes ok
the examples that we’re going to talk
about are not science fiction they’re
not visions they are the things that
they’re going to happen at some point
there are things that exist today for
example in the stock markets whether
Frankfurt or Tokyo or New York or London
the people you see down there working on
your TV show and you’re watching
they’re more or less extras in a movie
they aren’t doing the big moving the big
moving is three being done by
high-frequency computers they move so
fast they make in milliseconds
billion-dollar business computers have
far succeeded what we can do in fact I
did a film once about a company that
moved five blocks closer to the
frankfurt stock market because at the
speed of light on glass cable they saved
so much time getting closer to the
computers at the at the Frankfurter
stock exchange that will give you an
idea of how fast they they think and how
helpless we as human beings are you may
remember the old pictures of the stock
brokers with five telephones in each
hand running back and forth writing
things unpick that was way before
yesterday computers have taken over this
very very important part of our society
a heart of our financial community and
no one understands exactly how these
algorithms function they used to
understand them but they’ve been
improved by artificial intelligence I
don’t know how many people flew in today
but if you were sitting in an airplane
you probably had 30 different terror
tariffs and prices in your cabin because
the pricing is well done same is true of
hotels by machines that are collecting
global information making decisions
within split seconds what the price of
that airplane seat or that hotel room is
going to be and where its most critical
of all we’re talking about life and
death is in medicine computers are
better than we are as human beings in
several areas already today we’re
talking about here now this is not
science fiction I’m speaking next week
at the University it’s clinical medicine
and their radiologists were supposed to
be some of the best radiologists in
Germany they say that a computer can
recognize a tumor on an MT or in CT MRTC
CT faster and better and more precisely
than a human being can its picture
analysis and it’s done very well by
computers especially medicine where it’s
now though the robots are getting better
and better they’re looking cute they
have these big baby eyes the sweet way
of looking at you they can examine your
facial expression and just–there’s but
don’t be fooled by robots even when they
get one skin and even when they get
perfume and they start smelling like us
and getting really interesting they are
still machines they have no warm blood
in them there’s no sex in them they have
no mortality they’re cold code lines and
they shouldn’t be misunderstood now I
want you to understand what the power of
artificial intelligence is and I have
two examples one is surveillance cameras
everybody knows you know they were being
watched by cameras everywhere and most
people think surveillance is a camera
there and it’s me down here and it’s
watching me one person on camera well
that’s because we’re stupid that’s the
way we comprehend the surveillance one
camera one person we can’t comprehend it
this image was taken 17,500 feet above
Quantico Virginia and covers 15 square
miles this whole image is at a very very
fine resolution so if we wanted to know
what is going on in any spot along the
Tsim I’d say near this building at this
intersection everything that is a moving
object is being automatically tracked
the color boxes represents that the
computer has recognized the moving
objects you can see individuals crossing
the street you can see individuals
walking in parking lots there’s actually
enough resolution to be able to see the
people waving their arms or walking
around what kind of clothes they wear
unlike the predator camera that limits
field of view Argus melds together video
from each of its 368 chips to create a
1.8 billion pixel video stream
this makes it possible to zoom in and
still see tremendous detail and a
million produces a million terabytes
every day that’s a lot of data and then
telling you this because not that the
sensors are modern and not that the
photography is modern behind that is a
brain or our cognitive intelligence and
that brain is in a position to analyze
everybody down there at the same time in
real-time they see where everyone is
going we can understand it when we
reduce it to a single person but we
cannot understand it when you’re talking
about a hundred thousand people in the
city plus the vehicles which will all
recognize due to such systems they have
also redone facial recognition you
probably think facial recognition is
from the front but the redone to do it
from the top because that’s where the
drones are and they look at your ears
they look at the way you walk they look
at your head that’s modern facial
recognition so that’s one idea as a
human being we think of a one camera and
one person yeah this is a little of
their thing is that it’s taking all the
details all amusing after and they
record it so they can tell where that
person was two weeks ago two months ago
what stories he visited what his whole
behavioral patterns are that’s all part
of the analysis of argyll argus these
are called
tennis balls in military and
intelligence circles it’s a new
secretive since aura cruise missile will
fly into a valley in Afghanistan and
this is especially important because the
troops have left many of these areas and
it will drop literally thousands of
these sensor packages or these tennis
balls they’re all packed in foam rubber
they record with cameras they record
with microphones they record with
seismic measurements they record with
Geiger counters they record with
chemical sensors that can look for
chemical things that’s not the amazing
part of it and it’s not the amazing part
that they have a little signal that goes
we’re the transmitter transmitter goes
up to the satellite old technology
nothing special but the special part of
it is behind that system there’s a
fusion software that can combine the
audio and the visual and the seismic and
the chemical all of these signals and
make sense of them and analyze on the
ground what kind of troop movements they
are what are the kinds of vehicles
they’re using what are they transporting
is there radio activities in that it
takes all these different pieces of
information and turns it through fusion
software into an understandable picture
which goes way beyond way beyond our our
vision artificial intelligence only
works if you have huge data masses
artificial intelligence only works if
you have big data but big data only
works if you have artificial
intelligence to make sense of it because
human beings can no longer sort and sift
and order the huge volumes of data that
we have collected and thus it is not
surprising
that the company that has the most
information in the world it’s probably
the most powerful country in the world
Google
is very interested in artificial
intelligence and has been travelling
around the world as a shopping Queen
buying all the companies that are
dealing with robotics this is one of
their robots this is called Atlas and
they’re buying our artificial
intelligence all the artificial
intelligence companies from around the
world now this is if you ask Google it’s
a peaceful robot right he doesn’t have a
gun he doesn’t throw atomic bombs you
know he just walks around and stands
there but you may have seen the super
imposters DARPA Defense Advanced
Research Projects Agency that is the
research arm the Pentagon and then you
see the video was made by Lockheed
Martin which is one of the most powerful
and influential and richest weapons
companies in the world so why is the
Pentagon investing this money
why has Lockheed Martin had taken over
large aspects of the company this guy is
called Big Dawg he’s also belongs to
google also DARPA financed
peaceful dog right unless he gets caught
on a maneuver in the United States
Marines as part of a military unit so
these are not flower children these are
robots that have a function and robots
that have a function and then
intelligence and perhaps an intelligent
goes beyond us are dangerous things now
that’s a predator drone it was taken as
a secret of United States Air Force Base
in New Mexico predator drones you’ve
seen right you see them on TV you’ve
seen them in the newspapers they’re old
they’re 20 years old a technology this
is I mean it looks very scary when the
Spiegel and ard right modern technology
and the guys that enjoy stick and
killing people and tele and Taliban and
in Afghanistan far away but that’s what
a modern drone looks like this is not a
predator there’s a Pegasus it’s an x-47b
it’s owned by the Navy
it’s a jet-powered machine not like a
propeller driven predator it goes 2,000
miles into enemy territory
it carries 2,000 kilos worth of
explosive
and it’s run by artificial intelligence
it starts alone flies its mission alone
comes back alone and here’s the clue it
lands all by itself on an aircraft
carrier talk to any pilot you’ve ever
met what’s the most difficult landing
area you can possibly imagine they say
it’s an aircraft carrier for short
runway things moving very hard this
thinking drone can do it but here are
the two keys to Pegasus Pegasus is
invisible you know I’m not talking about
stealth and being invisible to radar I’m
talking about invisible to the human eye
and you won’t find this in any newspaper
anywhere it’s invisible to the human eye
because the bottom has an LED layer on
it and the top has cameras which you’ve
been removed here in the picture which
from the sky and they project on the
bottom a live picture of the clouds up
above the aircraft and you can hardly
see it and they’re responsible for a lot
of these UFO sightings in in Nevada near
the testing area
jet engine propulsion a reach of this is
in German of 2,000 miles starting
landing all by itself stealth is optical
stealth you can’t see it and the kill
decision which is required by United
States law to be made by human beings
human beings must be and looking in the
loop before someone is killed by a drone
but it’s in the machine and it doesn’t
need people it can decide by itself
whether or not it kills somebody and the
experts say it’s going to make less
mistakes and less collateral damage than
the human decisions the kill decision in
robots in the air and robots on the
ground in robots in the water or
underwater where there are also drones
is made by or can be made by machines
and in my book I quote many official
United States government documents which
say our goal is to have the Kiel
decision made by them the problem is
artificial intelligence sometimes they
make
stakes this is talent he’s an automatic
cannon he’s I mean they can a lot of
ammunition in that thing and you can
also put Rockets on and it’s in Iraq
since 2007 at a demonstration with us
generals and experts the damn thing got
out of control and started pointing at
the audience and there was a marine
there thank goodness
running across the field who tackled it
like a football player and threw it on
his side and probably prevented a couple
hundred people from being killed now
this was some reason enough to take a
look at of contract away from the
company that built it and it wasn’t
enough to take the talent out of Iraq
it’s just sort of off-duty for a moment
because you know there were some early
stages of development you know that kind
of problem but don’t underestimate
artificial intelligence because it’s
getting better every day and it’s going
to scare us and now I’m right at the
right time why I say stop because I want
to take a look now this has all been
here and now technology let’s go to the
future not far just a little bit to the
internet of things to artificial
intelligence as being spread out it’s
not a central machine in a box weave and
pull the plug artificial intelligence is
networked like the Internet of Things
and part of it may be in a SmartWatch or
a refrigerator or in a supercomputer and
the intelligence exists only by
networking it together
if the supercomputer needs more computer
power it goes there and gets it over the
internet if the computer needs better
programs it goes there and gets those
programs and if it needs more
information more data it goes there and
get some more data
it sets up a spontaneous Network for its
needs which collapses when it no longer
needs it it does this it does this
without us and you have to imagine like
these are these intelligence nodes all
over the place and they’re like drops of
mercury on a glass table they will
find their way to each other they will
find their way together now we have to
be in very careful because survival is
an issue for artificial intelligence it
needs to exist to be able to do the
things that wants to do according to its
program so it lays like insect eggs
backups and computer programs all over
the world thousands and thousands of
them so that if we do destroy part of it
it’s still a knife my job to you is the
wake-up call to make you aware of the
problem your job is to figure out how
we’re going to stop this before it kills
us [Applause]