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Artificial Intelligence: it will kill us | Jay Tuck | TEDxHamburgSalon


the subject of my talk tonight is about

something that is smarter than you are

artificial intelligence in fact a lot of

people who work in artificial

intelligence believe that artificial

intelligence and times smarter than we

are it will be moving at speeds that are

a hundred thousand times as fast as we

think and it will be digesting

information and data a million times

more than we can what is artificial

intelligence there are a lot of confused

ideas about this outside in the world

but the answer is very simple it’s one

sentence artificial intelligence is

software that writes itself it writes

its own updates it renews itself we

normally tend to think of software is

stuff that we created and the we wrote

and the machines do what we tell them to

do and we own it this is not any longer

truth it writes itself at speeds that we

can hardly comprehend and people who

write it know that you can’t take it

apart again and figure out what it’s

done it writes independently

autonomously it develops its own way of

thinking and there are dangers

associated with that so a lot of people

ask when is it going to happen when is

artificial intelligence going to be

smarter than those people some people

say 50 years some day 30 years some say

five years I say it already has

surpassed us in many areas of our

society the stick for example some

examples from right here and now and I

say parent have to point this goes ok

the examples that we’re going to talk

about are not science fiction they’re

not visions they are the things that

they’re going to happen at some point

there are things that exist today for

example in the stock markets whether

Frankfurt or Tokyo or New York or London

the people you see down there working on

your TV show and you’re watching

they’re more or less extras in a movie

they aren’t doing the big moving the big

moving is three being done by

high-frequency computers they move so

fast they make in milliseconds

billion-dollar business computers have

far succeeded what we can do in fact I

did a film once about a company that

moved five blocks closer to the

frankfurt stock market because at the

speed of light on glass cable they saved

so much time getting closer to the

computers at the at the Frankfurter

stock exchange that will give you an

idea of how fast they they think and how

helpless we as human beings are you may

remember the old pictures of the stock

brokers with five telephones in each

hand running back and forth writing

things unpick that was way before

yesterday computers have taken over this

very very important part of our society

a heart of our financial community and

no one understands exactly how these

algorithms function they used to

understand them but they’ve been

improved by artificial intelligence I

don’t know how many people flew in today

but if you were sitting in an airplane

you probably had 30 different terror

tariffs and prices in your cabin because

the pricing is well done same is true of

hotels by machines that are collecting

global information making decisions

within split seconds what the price of

that airplane seat or that hotel room is

going to be and where its most critical

of all we’re talking about life and

death is in medicine computers are

better than we are as human beings in

several areas already today we’re

talking about here now this is not

science fiction I’m speaking next week

at the University it’s clinical medicine

and their radiologists were supposed to

be some of the best radiologists in

Germany they say that a computer can

recognize a tumor on an MT or in CT MRTC

CT faster and better and more precisely

than a human being can its picture

analysis and it’s done very well by

computers especially medicine where it’s

now though the robots are getting better

and better they’re looking cute they

have these big baby eyes the sweet way

of looking at you they can examine your

facial expression and just–there’s but

don’t be fooled by robots even when they

get one skin and even when they get

perfume and they start smelling like us

and getting really interesting they are

still machines they have no warm blood

in them there’s no sex in them they have

no mortality they’re cold code lines and

they shouldn’t be misunderstood now I

want you to understand what the power of

artificial intelligence is and I have

two examples one is surveillance cameras

everybody knows you know they were being

watched by cameras everywhere and most

people think surveillance is a camera

there and it’s me down here and it’s

watching me one person on camera well

that’s because we’re stupid that’s the

way we comprehend the surveillance one

camera one person we can’t comprehend it

this image was taken 17,500 feet above

Quantico Virginia and covers 15 square

miles this whole image is at a very very

fine resolution so if we wanted to know

what is going on in any spot along the

Tsim I’d say near this building at this

intersection everything that is a moving

object is being automatically tracked

the color boxes represents that the

computer has recognized the moving

objects you can see individuals crossing

the street you can see individuals

walking in parking lots there’s actually

enough resolution to be able to see the

people waving their arms or walking

around what kind of clothes they wear

unlike the predator camera that limits

field of view Argus melds together video

from each of its 368 chips to create a

1.8 billion pixel video stream

this makes it possible to zoom in and

still see tremendous detail and a

million produces a million terabytes

every day that’s a lot of data and then

telling you this because not that the

sensors are modern and not that the

photography is modern behind that is a

brain or our cognitive intelligence and

that brain is in a position to analyze

everybody down there at the same time in

real-time they see where everyone is

going we can understand it when we

reduce it to a single person but we

cannot understand it when you’re talking

about a hundred thousand people in the

city plus the vehicles which will all

recognize due to such systems they have

also redone facial recognition you

probably think facial recognition is

from the front but the redone to do it

from the top because that’s where the

drones are and they look at your ears

they look at the way you walk they look

at your head that’s modern facial

recognition so that’s one idea as a

human being we think of a one camera and

one person yeah this is a little of

their thing is that it’s taking all the

details all amusing after and they

record it so they can tell where that

person was two weeks ago two months ago

what stories he visited what his whole

behavioral patterns are that’s all part

of the analysis of argyll argus these

are called

tennis balls in military and

intelligence circles it’s a new

secretive since aura cruise missile will

fly into a valley in Afghanistan and

this is especially important because the

troops have left many of these areas and

it will drop literally thousands of

these sensor packages or these tennis

balls they’re all packed in foam rubber

they record with cameras they record

with microphones they record with

seismic measurements they record with

Geiger counters they record with

chemical sensors that can look for

chemical things that’s not the amazing

part of it and it’s not the amazing part

that they have a little signal that goes

we’re the transmitter transmitter goes

up to the satellite old technology

nothing special but the special part of

it is behind that system there’s a

fusion software that can combine the

audio and the visual and the seismic and

the chemical all of these signals and

make sense of them and analyze on the

ground what kind of troop movements they

are what are the kinds of vehicles

they’re using what are they transporting

is there radio activities in that it

takes all these different pieces of

information and turns it through fusion

software into an understandable picture

which goes way beyond way beyond our our

vision artificial intelligence only

works if you have huge data masses

artificial intelligence only works if

you have big data but big data only

works if you have artificial

intelligence to make sense of it because

human beings can no longer sort and sift

and order the huge volumes of data that

we have collected and thus it is not

surprising

that the company that has the most

information in the world it’s probably

the most powerful country in the world

Google

is very interested in artificial

intelligence and has been travelling

around the world as a shopping Queen

buying all the companies that are

dealing with robotics this is one of

their robots this is called Atlas and

they’re buying our artificial

intelligence all the artificial

intelligence companies from around the

world now this is if you ask Google it’s

a peaceful robot right he doesn’t have a

gun he doesn’t throw atomic bombs you

know he just walks around and stands

there but you may have seen the super

imposters DARPA Defense Advanced

Research Projects Agency that is the

research arm the Pentagon and then you

see the video was made by Lockheed

Martin which is one of the most powerful

and influential and richest weapons

companies in the world so why is the

Pentagon investing this money

why has Lockheed Martin had taken over

large aspects of the company this guy is

called Big Dawg he’s also belongs to

google also DARPA financed

peaceful dog right unless he gets caught

on a maneuver in the United States

Marines as part of a military unit so

these are not flower children these are

robots that have a function and robots

that have a function and then

intelligence and perhaps an intelligent

goes beyond us are dangerous things now

that’s a predator drone it was taken as

a secret of United States Air Force Base

in New Mexico predator drones you’ve

seen right you see them on TV you’ve

seen them in the newspapers they’re old

they’re 20 years old a technology this

is I mean it looks very scary when the

Spiegel and ard right modern technology

and the guys that enjoy stick and

killing people and tele and Taliban and

in Afghanistan far away but that’s what

a modern drone looks like this is not a

predator there’s a Pegasus it’s an x-47b

it’s owned by the Navy

it’s a jet-powered machine not like a

propeller driven predator it goes 2,000

miles into enemy territory

it carries 2,000 kilos worth of

explosive

and it’s run by artificial intelligence

it starts alone flies its mission alone

comes back alone and here’s the clue it

lands all by itself on an aircraft

carrier talk to any pilot you’ve ever

met what’s the most difficult landing

area you can possibly imagine they say

it’s an aircraft carrier for short

runway things moving very hard this

thinking drone can do it but here are

the two keys to Pegasus Pegasus is

invisible you know I’m not talking about

stealth and being invisible to radar I’m

talking about invisible to the human eye

and you won’t find this in any newspaper

anywhere it’s invisible to the human eye

because the bottom has an LED layer on

it and the top has cameras which you’ve

been removed here in the picture which

from the sky and they project on the

bottom a live picture of the clouds up

above the aircraft and you can hardly

see it and they’re responsible for a lot

of these UFO sightings in in Nevada near

the testing area

jet engine propulsion a reach of this is

in German of 2,000 miles starting

landing all by itself stealth is optical

stealth you can’t see it and the kill

decision which is required by United

States law to be made by human beings

human beings must be and looking in the

loop before someone is killed by a drone

but it’s in the machine and it doesn’t

need people it can decide by itself

whether or not it kills somebody and the

experts say it’s going to make less

mistakes and less collateral damage than

the human decisions the kill decision in

robots in the air and robots on the

ground in robots in the water or

underwater where there are also drones

is made by or can be made by machines

and in my book I quote many official

United States government documents which

say our goal is to have the Kiel

decision made by them the problem is

artificial intelligence sometimes they

make

stakes this is talent he’s an automatic

cannon he’s I mean they can a lot of

ammunition in that thing and you can

also put Rockets on and it’s in Iraq

since 2007 at a demonstration with us

generals and experts the damn thing got

out of control and started pointing at

the audience and there was a marine

there thank goodness

running across the field who tackled it

like a football player and threw it on

his side and probably prevented a couple

hundred people from being killed now

this was some reason enough to take a

look at of contract away from the

company that built it and it wasn’t

enough to take the talent out of Iraq

it’s just sort of off-duty for a moment

because you know there were some early

stages of development you know that kind

of problem but don’t underestimate

artificial intelligence because it’s

getting better every day and it’s going

to scare us and now I’m right at the

right time why I say stop because I want

to take a look now this has all been

here and now technology let’s go to the

future not far just a little bit to the

internet of things to artificial

intelligence as being spread out it’s

not a central machine in a box weave and

pull the plug artificial intelligence is

networked like the Internet of Things

and part of it may be in a SmartWatch or

a refrigerator or in a supercomputer and

the intelligence exists only by

networking it together

if the supercomputer needs more computer

power it goes there and gets it over the

internet if the computer needs better

programs it goes there and gets those

programs and if it needs more

information more data it goes there and

get some more data

it sets up a spontaneous Network for its

needs which collapses when it no longer

needs it it does this it does this

without us and you have to imagine like

these are these intelligence nodes all

over the place and they’re like drops of

mercury on a glass table they will

find their way to each other they will

find their way together now we have to

be in very careful because survival is

an issue for artificial intelligence it

needs to exist to be able to do the

things that wants to do according to its

program so it lays like insect eggs

backups and computer programs all over

the world thousands and thousands of

them so that if we do destroy part of it

it’s still a knife my job to you is the

wake-up call to make you aware of the

problem your job is to figure out how

we’re going to stop this before it kills

us [Applause]

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