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AI Is Eating Our World | Fabian Westerheide | TEDxHeidelberg


well I got my first computer in the age

of 8 and

since then I’m hooked in the digital

world I was involved in over 30

companies as an entrepreneur and

investor in the last years mainly the

software space and through influenced by

science fiction which I love if it’s

Gibson or hard laying or child straws

and the series like stargates I

discovered that the natural evolution of

software is artificial intelligence

someone said it could be the last

invention we do as humankind and that’s

what why I would like to speak with you

today about that AI is eating our world

and that this is something we should be

happy about artificial intelligence is

not a new concept already the Romans the

Greeks the Chinese they had a concept of

human-like machines so it is through

human history that we’re thinking about

machines who could be more like us today

we understand machines who look more

like us who think like us who see the

world like us and also it got recently

very popular in Hollywood again if it’s

gays if it’s a landmass if it’s a

hulking they all speak currently about

artificial intelligence and the reason

is three factors came together in the

last three years which are interesting

to earth the first is the increase in

processing power the second is data and

the third is progress in machine

learning um we all know that computers

used to be very very big and very slow

and very stupid and they used to fill

rooms like this rooms like this were

computers and they were just a smart

calculator just a calculator but today

we all have a supercomputer in our

pocket in our smartphone thanks to

Moore’s law which is valid for the last

50 years every 18 months a computer is

half the size half the price and double

the speed so computers are getting

faster from time to time from year to

year and this won’t stop so it’s like

your brain would get better just imagine

you would get smarter every eighteen

month what you could do with this so

computer get better this is the first

things they get smarter and faster the

second is we have more data it’s like

for us humans more data means you have

more process and thanks to the internet

25 years ago we produce every day more

the day before whatever you do on this

smartphone whatever you do offline

everything is tracked everything’s

stored whatever we do everything

especially digital we do this is

somewhere safe on stored on a server and

that is why companies like Google like

Facebook they use this huge complex

processing powers in combination with

data to make sense out of the world they

have and they use machine learning to

use all these computers and data to make

even their business models more you know

to understand better what the customers

do to make more money

just imagine what this means if

computers are getting stronger faster

and you have more data to do it so

machine learning is that deer that you

do not need to program everything yes if

you don’t use machine learning you want

to improve a computer or a pro computer

program you have to write it in the code

you run it you test it and then you have

to write the code again with machine

learning the machine is able to adapt

itself and with the machine learning

something the last years had a

breakthrough which is really interesting

and it’s called deep learning and deep

learning our neural nets and layers I

was they asked me to explain this a

little bit more so this means it’s

mimicking how the brain works and it’s

in easy words you have two points and

when the machine is doing something

right the path between two points is

getting stronger if the machine is doing

something wrong the path between two

points is getting weaker and you can

imagine it’s like you drive a car when

you’re 18 you need to learn all these

rules you go to school learn these rules

you have a driver’s they’re in German

you have to take 30 hours and more you

learn this and learn this until you get

more experiences you don’t think anymore

you you have something like experience

it’s like instinct and this is him is

about machines the more you run a

machine the better it gets and these

machines are on the step of being

cognitive machines so the machines today

using deep learning they can gather data

yes then they can run simulations your

mathematics is complex models and then

they propose actions and today you don’t

tell them anymore what they have to do

they run their own actions to execute

them they measure the results and then

they optimize so I repeat this machine’s

optimize themselves and we don’t know

any

what’s happening inside machine start

trading stocks machines drive cars

machines develop own encryptions and we

don’t know anymore how they do it within

their certain frames they decide on

themselves they improve on themselves

and they do this simulator Slee there

are companies out there who run a

machine and then they copy them eight

times and within two days they have 16

20 and more different outcomes and

versions while a human can do this only

afterwards machines do this peril so

what I want to say is we come to the

point I call this the age of narrow

artificial intelligence it’s narrow

artificial intelligence because these

machines are very very intelligent very

good in their specific trained field

training machines got cheaper and faster

and easier than ever the more processing

power.you happen the more data you have

the easier it is to train a machine and

these machines today we used to train

them we already have today machines who

we have taught to train themselves so

you don’t have to teach them that they

have to learn they know how to learn

themselves so you give them a task and

then they solve it and they solve it in

ways we can’t imagine ourselves they saw

with different and faster and maybe more

creative than we do a narrow artificial

intelligence are there already we just

don’t always see them Google is using

them to figure out what you will type in

before you type it in yes

Netflix is using narrow artificial

intelligence to decide what you should

watch before you thought about this

we all have artificial intelligences at

home

is that Sverre in your smartphone or it

is at katana from Microsoft or it’s from

Amazon echo well it’s not smart for you

but I know kids who speak with 0e every

day for a couple of hours for them this

is a real communication they don’t think

about this or this is just the machine

it’s stupid we all have seen this

self-driving cars this is a form of

narrower 53 artificial intelligence –

and there’s not only one solution

Tesla’s a solution BMW is working

solutions comedy eyes and working

solution this even more than one version

out of this then you should go with Auto

this is future but this is real and it

come we received on the cities and this

will be there and will increase there

are self driving trucks based on

artificial intelligences this is real –

it’s proven it’s just policies and

legislation takes way longer until we

see it on the road you can use

artificial intelligence almost in every

object it’s like a layer you see it or

you don’t see it it is everywhere

wherever you have a computer you can put

artificial intelligence in there and

they can do something for us that means

machines work machines work for us

that’s why we invent them we invent them

so they work for us they work for us 24

hours a day 365 days a week a year they

don’t complain they don’t want a race

they don’t go on a strike and they got

cheaper the more you use them they get

more efficient the more we use them we

use machines to do the physical work we

don’t like to do we used machines to do

the boring work we don’t like to do and

we use machines to do the thinking work

and what is the benefit for us well the

benefit for us is we have more live

insight we have more time to live we

only have in an average life 4,500 weeks

so time is and we learnt this today is

very scarce the most scarce thing we

have the only limited resources in our

life so when the machines do the work

for us we have more time to live well

more time for the important things in

life which is family which is friends

which is traveling your wife your

husband your kids it’s reading a book

it’s travel the world it’s doing

something for the community or start a

company where the machines do the work

for us we have more time to be human

however and this is the first people ask

me what is about jobs and honestly I

won’t tell you well this is you know

going to end very easy yes machines are

there and they are continuing to do the

jobs for us because we want this that’s

why we invent them it’s because they are

supposed to do the things we don’t like

to do so there is the estimation that

only in let’s say in Germany in the next

20 years five to ten million jobs will

be replaced by machines for Europe it’s

50 million we speak about hundreds

millions of jobs which would could be

replaced by machines robots and

computers over the next decades just

think about sales agents think about

customer support text drivers cab

drivers and so on this is just a small

list a compiled to ask a couple of

people what jobs could be replace and

there are a lot of jobs there the good

thing is it won’t replace you personal

right away it’s more that you will use

artificial intelligence to do more out

of your job you use artificial

intelligence and computers to leverage

what you do today but on the long run

companies just hire less people because

AI + humans is enough then let’s say 20

or 30 humans did this before so AI is

just there and supporting you it won’t

replace you right away just on the long

term we need less people to have the

same productivity and output and it’s

everywhere there when you sit in front

of the computer

yes eh I will replace you if you’re

working with people a is not there yet

you’re on the safe side and this is

something we should not be afraid of but

we need to discuss and this is something

we need to be aware of this will come

and that’s why I’m here today we need to

speak about the system what we don’t

have to work anymore yes we need to

speak up as a system which is I call the

droplets future I have this picture of a

future where we don’t have to work

anymore we only work because we want to

we only do the things which are our

passion we only do the things which we

have a drive for we get up in the

morning because we really want to do

this and it does not have to be for the

money it can be for a deeper and higher

meaning so we need to speak up of the

system how can do this I don’t have the

solution there are things we can discuss

like you know unconditional basic income

and so forth but we need to figure this

out as a society how we do this

transition from a you know a presence

where you have to work to survive to

future where this is optional and where

drop is not necessary to have a good

living and to be human for the end let’s

look a little bit back for the last

hundred fifty years for the last five

two generations life got really really

good for humans I can say that we are

living in a greatest time of human

history even we don’t see it our average

life expectancy doubled it has everyone

older than 30 here in this room yes you

can be happy to live today because only

hundred years ago you would be dead most

likely we have waving money in our

pocket our average income and wealth

increased to six hundred two thousand

percent just in the Western countries at

the same time we work less we work half

the time you used to work a hundred

years ago average working time with 80

hours today we work 35 to 40 hours in

average so we live longer

we are healthier with more money in our

pocket we can buy more things we work

less for this and this is the trend we

have this is the progress we had in the

last 150 years because we embrace

technology

jeez yes with every new thing which will

come which can be AI AGI

superintelligence nano robotics which

relatives of four we have challenges

it has challenges for you as a person

for our system we’re living and for

companies and so forth but it’s also

opportunities and they will bring us a

better life and more happy life this is

the future I’m fighting for this is the

future I think we should all fight for

and this is what I’m living for that we all achieve it thank you

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