The prospect of artificial intelligence is exciting and at the same time disgusting:
Will it bring us heaven or hell?
In order to understand more clearly what is going to happen and when, it is best to divide artificial intelligence into three categories.
The first is “artificial narrow intelligence” or what people call “weak AI”;
This artificial intelligence already exists;
This artificial intelligence uses your big data and complex algorithms to schedule your Facebook timeline, or beat you when you play chess;
The wisdom of weak artificial intelligence is limited to a particular area; it may not pass the Turing test.
But our lives, infrastructure and financial markets are already very dependent on it.
The second is strong artificial intelligence;
This kind of artificial intelligence can at least think like us; it may take about 30 years to reach this level.
The obstacles to creating strong artificial intelligence are all about building such machines, which are good at doing things easily by human beings. Traditionally, machines are hard to do well.
The strange thing is that building a machine that can do higher calculus is much simpler.
Instead of building a milk, you can get milk from the refrigerator, get to know your grandmother, or walk up the stairs.
Our brains are very good at so-called “daily tasks”, such as decoding 3D images.
Understanding people’s motives and detecting occasional irony, we are far more than machines.
Some scientists suspect that we can see strong artificial intelligence,
But most AI experts believe that we will see it in the coming decades;
If you are under 35, chances are that you will be able to live in the era of strong artificial intelligence.
So what happens to the world once we succeed in creating artificial intelligence that rivals us and even surpasses us?
Ok, for one reason, this competition will be extremely short.
Because the key point of strong artificial intelligence is that it can learn and self-upgrade without guidance.
This is why it is so revolutionary and different from all the other machines we have built;
The manufacturer cannot take control of all the possibilities.
The machine will be given basic capabilities, but it can be developed on this basis.
It will be a trial and error learner with unlimited ability to acquire skills;
It will have what the artificial intelligence experts call “recursive self-improvement.”
This is crucial because it means that once human levels are reached, there will be no reason to stand still.
The smarter the system, the better it can be, and the more will be learned.
This virtuous circle is equivalent to the exponential growth of intelligence, and human beings will be extremely surprised.
At the same time, it will be puzzling, dwarfed, and maybe even scared.
It may not be too long, or even just a few months, the machine will be smarter than its creator.
This is a very exciting time.
This moment is often referred to as the “singularity”.
At this time we will encounter a third type of artificial intelligence: “artificial super intelligence.”
Technically, this artificial intelligence exceeds the intelligence level of everyone,
And the improvement is very fast.
Artificial intelligence that reaches this level will soon lead us.
For example, “Well, let’s turn it off,”
Maybe it’s an egg hitting stone.
The prospect of such super intelligence is frightening and equally exciting.
We are approaching two different futures
Like the speed and uncertainty faced by skydiving people, they forget to wear a parachute.
Some people include: Bill Gates, Stephen Hawking and Elon Musk are very scared
They believe that we can never effectively control any super intelligence we create.
Artificial intelligence only pursues one’s own goals, and these goals are not necessarily consistent with us.
A machine won’t want to kill us especially.
But its immorality means that it is willing to let us extinct when necessary.
These critics point out that artificial intelligence does not load values.
It is easy to assume that intelligent objects will naturally develop vague human values.
Like compassion and respect for life,
But these are not guaranteed, because ethical values are based on pure human axioms.
Given that it is difficult for human beings to agree to each other correctly and wrongly.
In some areas, such as euthanasia or miscarriage,
How can we program a computer that has a knowledge that is sound and reliable and considered ethical?
This is a pessimistic perspective, and of course there is a more optimistic perspective.
According to optimists, in a world of artificial intelligence,
The machine is still our servant, we will give them some basic rules, absolutely can not kill or do anything that harms humanity,
Then they will tackle all the things that have long plagued us.
The most urgent task of super intelligence is to help us create free energy.
In turn, the price of almost all goods is drastically reduced.
We will soon enter the “rich” era described by Google’s chief futurist Ray Kurzweil:
All costs will drop to almost zero, as the cost of the data now.
Working for money, in essence, will come to an end.
The real challenge is that, with the great abundance of matter, it cannot be miserable.
After all, Palm Springs and Monte Carlo show us the dangers of the wealthy people who are doing nothing.
The solution here is to develop an AI, which is artificial emotion intelligence.
Artificial emotional intelligence will help us solve all the emotional, psychological and philosophical problems.
We will get the following help: understand our minds, master our emotions, and find our true talents –
We will find the best thing for ourselves,
And guide us to find people who can develop good and satisfying relationships.
Most of the psychological problems that waste our lives will be avoided;
Instead of groping in the psychological fog of insecure factors and contradictions,
We will be led to a more compassionate, happier, smarter future.
Science fiction is sometimes degraded in the elite circle.
But we can now see: thinking ahead 20 to 50 years later, and imagining how life will be the central task of all of us now;
In our minds, we should all be like science fiction writers.
We are ahead of the critical point of human history.
We need wisdom to control the way we move forward,
This means that today we have to take a down-to-earth look at things that seem to be far away.
Human beings are the animals that make tools;
We are only one step away from creating tools that have never been seen before.
The key is to keep in mind the original intention of creating each tool.
That helps us deal with things more effectively.
If we remain vigilant, then for no reason, our computers will break away from our control;
They should be just a more advanced version of the Flint Axis.
Will it bring us heaven or hell?
In order to understand more clearly what is going to happen and when, it is best to divide artificial intelligence into three categories.
The first is “artificial narrow intelligence” or what people call “weak AI”;
This artificial intelligence already exists;
This artificial intelligence uses your big data and complex algorithms to schedule your Facebook timeline, or beat you when you play chess;
The wisdom of weak artificial intelligence is limited to a particular area; it may not pass the Turing test.
But our lives, infrastructure and financial markets are already very dependent on it.
The second is strong artificial intelligence;
This kind of artificial intelligence can at least think like us; it may take about 30 years to reach this level.
The obstacles to creating strong artificial intelligence are all about building such machines, which are good at doing things easily by human beings. Traditionally, machines are hard to do well.
The strange thing is that building a machine that can do higher calculus is much simpler.
Instead of building a milk, you can get milk from the refrigerator, get to know your grandmother, or walk up the stairs.
Our brains are very good at so-called “daily tasks”, such as decoding 3D images.
Understanding people’s motives and detecting occasional irony, we are far more than machines.
Some scientists suspect that we can see strong artificial intelligence,
But most AI experts believe that we will see it in the coming decades;
If you are under 35, chances are that you will be able to live in the era of strong artificial intelligence.
So what happens to the world once we succeed in creating artificial intelligence that rivals us and even surpasses us?
Ok, for one reason, this competition will be extremely short.
Because the key point of strong artificial intelligence is that it can learn and self-upgrade without guidance.
This is why it is so revolutionary and different from all the other machines we have built;
The manufacturer cannot take control of all the possibilities.
The machine will be given basic capabilities, but it can be developed on this basis.
It will be a trial and error learner with unlimited ability to acquire skills;
It will have what the artificial intelligence experts call “recursive self-improvement.”
This is crucial because it means that once human levels are reached, there will be no reason to stand still.
The smarter the system, the better it can be, and the more will be learned.
This virtuous circle is equivalent to the exponential growth of intelligence, and human beings will be extremely surprised.
At the same time, it will be puzzling, dwarfed, and maybe even scared.
It may not be too long, or even just a few months, the machine will be smarter than its creator.
This is a very exciting time.
This moment is often referred to as the “singularity”.
At this time we will encounter a third type of artificial intelligence: “artificial super intelligence.”
Technically, this artificial intelligence exceeds the intelligence level of everyone,
And the improvement is very fast.
Artificial intelligence that reaches this level will soon lead us.
For example, “Well, let’s turn it off,”
Maybe it’s an egg hitting stone.
The prospect of such super intelligence is frightening and equally exciting.
We are approaching two different futures
Like the speed and uncertainty faced by skydiving people, they forget to wear a parachute.
Some people include: Bill Gates, Stephen Hawking and Elon Musk are very scared
They believe that we can never effectively control any super intelligence we create.
Artificial intelligence only pursues one’s own goals, and these goals are not necessarily consistent with us.
A machine won’t want to kill us especially.
But its immorality means that it is willing to let us extinct when necessary.
These critics point out that artificial intelligence does not load values.
It is easy to assume that intelligent objects will naturally develop vague human values.
Like compassion and respect for life,
But these are not guaranteed, because ethical values are based on pure human axioms.
Given that it is difficult for human beings to agree to each other correctly and wrongly.
In some areas, such as euthanasia or miscarriage,
How can we program a computer that has a knowledge that is sound and reliable and considered ethical?
This is a pessimistic perspective, and of course there is a more optimistic perspective.
According to optimists, in a world of artificial intelligence,
The machine is still our servant, we will give them some basic rules, absolutely can not kill or do anything that harms humanity,
Then they will tackle all the things that have long plagued us.
The most urgent task of super intelligence is to help us create free energy.
In turn, the price of almost all goods is drastically reduced.
We will soon enter the “rich” era described by Google’s chief futurist Ray Kurzweil:
All costs will drop to almost zero, as the cost of the data now.
Working for money, in essence, will come to an end.
The real challenge is that, with the great abundance of matter, it cannot be miserable.
After all, Palm Springs and Monte Carlo show us the dangers of the wealthy people who are doing nothing.
The solution here is to develop an AI, which is artificial emotion intelligence.
Artificial emotional intelligence will help us solve all the emotional, psychological and philosophical problems.
We will get the following help: understand our minds, master our emotions, and find our true talents –
We will find the best thing for ourselves,
And guide us to find people who can develop good and satisfying relationships.
Most of the psychological problems that waste our lives will be avoided;
Instead of groping in the psychological fog of insecure factors and contradictions,
We will be led to a more compassionate, happier, smarter future.
Science fiction is sometimes degraded in the elite circle.
But we can now see: thinking ahead 20 to 50 years later, and imagining how life will be the central task of all of us now;
In our minds, we should all be like science fiction writers.
We are ahead of the critical point of human history.
We need wisdom to control the way we move forward,
This means that today we have to take a down-to-earth look at things that seem to be far away.
Human beings are the animals that make tools;
We are only one step away from creating tools that have never been seen before.
The key is to keep in mind the original intention of creating each tool.
That helps us deal with things more effectively.
If we remain vigilant, then for no reason, our computers will break away from our control;
They should be just a more advanced version of the Flint Axis.
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