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The Future of Aging | Ken Arneson | TEDxOshkosh


[Music]
[Applause]
it was July 24th earlier this summer I
was by my mother’s bedside we’re just a
few weeks earlier our conversation had
been one about an upcoming surgery rehab
and she would be coming home but instead
she was in the final minutes of her life
so as I held her hand and stroked her
hair and I told her it would be okay
what came to me was at some point
probably when I was younger she too had
held my hand stroked my hair and told me
I would be okay
and as we look at this idea about the
future of Aging
you know what we really want to know is
we will be okay but I also found was
when we look at this journey it actually
begins early on when we are born and
it’s a journey that has many markers
were born we learned to walk we ride a
bike we go to school we get a car we
graduate school we may go on to a job
higher learning we get married have kids
then at some point kids leave home
we’re empty nesters dear God what are we
going to do 24/7 together now we move on
all of a sudden our parents die and we
realize I’m next that world continues to
maybe reach a point that at some point
we need assistance and then it may end
in the future the thing when you’re
doing predictions in many ways is it’s a
guess with our future of aging we know
the end point and the question is what
will that journey look like but what I’m
here to tell you today is if you do your
part
with what we’re seeing in the world
today you will live a much better life
there there are thoughts out there that
with aging 10 to 25% is genetics and 75
to 90% is your environment and if I
would have been giving this TED talk in
1950 there’s a good chance I would have
been at the end of my life because
average life expectancy then was in the
late 40s to the early 50s but today in
the world people are living longer
according to the World Health
Organization by 2025 the average life
expectancy in every country will be 50
years old and people 60 years and older
will go from 900 million in 2015 to over
2 billion people by 2050 and in the
United States where by the end of today
10,000 people will turn 65 with our baby
boomers in our Generation Xers and
there’s 74 million of them but when we
talk about the Millennials what we don’t
know is there’s even more of them at
over 75 million before immigration so
imagine what aging will look like in 30
years with the oldest of them being 34
when they turn 65 so the future of aging
will look different just because there’s
going to be so many more of us I’m here
to tell you if you’re older you are cool
we’re simply gonna outnumber all the
young people and with advancements that
are going on with medicine and
technology our futures look very bright
with medical technology doubling from 50
years in 1950 to seven years in 1983 and
a half years in 2010 and projections of
73 days by 2020 amazing things are
coming nanotechnology nano circuitry
stem cell and genetic engineering are
going to create amazing advancements for
aging if any of you ever remember the
movie from Michael
Bay in 2005 the island the premise of it
was individuals would pay they have
clones made and then when you needed a
body part they harvested it from the
clone the good news is the clones don’t
have to worry with the advent of 3d
printing in our future if you need a
kidney
it’ll be printed you need a liver we’ll
print it for you
regenerative healing knees hips whatever
it may be will simply remake it for you
and these advancements are showing up
with investments in the billions
companies like Apple Google Johnson &
Johnson and other Giants are investing
billions of dollars and listen to this
the FDA now recognizes aging as a
disorder a disorder that can be treated
and there are people predicting we could
live another hundred years you might
live to be a hundred and fifty and in
our lifetimes even today we will see
many of these advancements regenerative
hearing or hearing tied into your
smartphone and then if we let it layer
on top of that the advancements with
technology if you remember the bionic
man and the bionic woman amazing things
will happen but imagine driverless
vehicles well it scares us now to think
of a world where a 75 year old does not
have to worry about getting stuck on a
roundabout
imagine you don’t have to go to your
parents and say it’s time to take the
license away
you’re not safe driving or you are not
identified by the type of vehicle you
drive if you own a 2003 Buick LeSabre
and your youth it’s okay
or with drones what that will mean for
individuals who may not be able to get
out the stuff can simply come to them or
as we look at the idea potentially was
sight in the future by Ani guys what
could that mean for individuals who are
concerned about losing their sight as
they age or could you imagine a world
without Walker’s wheelchairs or canes
who would not want that world we simply
will all fit you with an exoskeleton if
you look right now these are being
tested in the military the idea of
helping individuals but imagine a world
where individuals no longer have steps
as their barriers who wouldn’t want that
world the idea of insoles in your shoes
it will help with balance or work that’s
currently going on with toilets your
toilet will actually become one of the
highest tech items in your house it will
measure an output it will be able to
pick up if individuals maybe are having
urinary tract infections or people who
flush it in the morning it’ll become a
signal to let individuals know that
they’re safe and if that toilets not
flushed it will tell you something
refrigerators that will help us to be
able to see what people are eating or
maybe not eating your garbage can is
actually one of your best sources of
information for people as they age if
you visit your parents in the garbage
can is empty it tells you something what
is in there tells you a whole lot of
things and what technology we’re going
to know this but with in with all these
advancements it’ll provide great
opportunities and great challenges some
of the greatest opportunities is we are
going to start breaking down stereotypes
I don’t understand why you turn 40 you
are over the hill and you’re considered
to start to be aging that in the future
will maybe be 60 or even worse yet a ARP
at 50 it’s just wrong it’s something
that your children can use to torment
you with what if that was too late until
you’re 70 who here wouldn’t want that
world and if you could live to be a
hundred plus years old would you
interesting enough when I ask people
their first response is no I don’t want
to live that long but what if you could
when you’ve heard the other speakers
here today with the challenges we face
today what if you could live to be a
hundred and eighty maybe you could see
if we could come up with world peace
maybe we’d have the knowledge know-how
and tenacity to deal with social issues
today because there’d be enough of us
what if we’d find out there are other
people from other worlds would you do it
and what we have an opportunity to learn
is with all these opportunities there
will be challenges and we can learn this
from a world stage evergreen the
organization I’m with has been doing
work to assist people in China and right
there we can see where there have been
unintentional consequences what
decisions that have been made the
one-child policy in 1979 they were not
thinking ahead to how it would affect a
culture where the expectation his
children will take care of their parents
and in China children pay for their
parents care it is an expectation it’s
called filial piety but imagine you are
a Chinese couple you have for parents
for Graham actually eight grandparents
and you’re expected to care for all 12
so we’ve been doing work there trying to
help them build skilled nursing and
assisted living but the effects on their
culture have been tremendous wealth
distribution now is being passed to one
individual great distortions with wealth
or there’s an estimation there’ll be 30
to 35 million more Chinese men by 2030
than Chinese women of marrying age how
are they going to care for
these individuals – now parents actually
consume Aaron in China if a child does
not visit their parent or meet their
duty to care and filial piety they can
be sued so kids beware take care of your
appearance or if you look at the
challenges with how will we care for all
these people where were we find people
we can see that which I would Japan
where they’re predicting by 2030 one in
three individuals will be over the age
of 65 and one in five will be over 70 so
when we heard our earlier speaker about
robots on the farm
sorry I got to come back to actually
I’ll come back to this and said here’s
the other things I want to let you know
about aging they will be different if
you google the idea of aging we look at
things like you should be knitting bingo
building models crocheting blurring
instead how about we’re on the water ski
team in our 80s better yet in our 90s we
got our GoPro camera on and we’re
scaring the Dickens out of the kids back
home as we’re skydiving or for some of
us in here we’re training for our
Ironman in our 90’s but again coming
back to this idea of how are we going to
care for all these people maybe one of
our solutions will be robots the
Japanese are experimenting with robots
right now and imagine a robot and never
gets tired it can hear the same
conversation over and over and over
again and it won’t say stop imagine this
world these are being developed this is
in our future with our aging but the
caution I want to let us know is imagine
this world now and in a society such as
America where the number one thing
people say is I want to remain in my
home a culture now where a quarter of
the population is choosing to remain to
be single that in your home you can have
a robot Astro your own god you have the
ability to not worry about driving
because you can go anywhere you want or
just have it simply brought to you you
can watch TED talks
virtual you don’t even have to go we
could actually if we are not careful we
could create a world with whole new
issues issues of people being isolated
and not having purpose imagine a world
where people no longer talk to one
another and isolation kills people it
actually is one of the greatest killers
of people I’ve always asked people even
if you could live in the Taj Mahal at
some point your world gets small and
keeping people connected is it’s it’s
physical because you know what we all
need we need friends and in our country
a challenge we have is people have fewer
friends because you know what friends do
for you
they tell you this it will be okay and
that’s what we need is we look at our
future of ageing is the idea that we
will be okay and we need purpose in
Japan there’s a saying called itchy
guide which means the reason I wake up
in the morning we have to continue to
help individuals find they’re itchy guy
because imagine out with all these
people living longer does that mean now
instead of retiring at 65 because you
only expect to live till you’re 80 now
you have to retire at 90 because you’re
living to be 100 how much more will I
have to save what does that mean for
younger generations coming up well there
what were their jobs look like in the
future but imagine this world if we use
this valuable resource a world where now
you have a thousand plus master
gardeners in a community imagine what
they could do a world where there are
abundant volunteers to work in our
schools providing one-to-one mentorships
for people remember two billion people
all these people what are we going to do
with them a world where when we talk
about issues of global climate change
having the know-how and the resources to
deal with it it’s actually here in front
of us it’s all of you as you
the challenge is how do we make sure
that we do it in a way that we remain
connected and we always find purpose
because here’s what happens is in the
end it all ends the same and this is
what I leave you with and I wish you all
is that at some point whether it’s a
friend a family member a caregiver that
in your final moments there will be
somebody holding your hand stroking your
hair and telling you you will be okay
before it’s over thank you
[Applause]
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